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Bengals vs. Texans

● quote 22s ago
Sports→Closes: 2 daysLiquidity: $694.3KOfficial 24h Vol: $211.9KEvent: Bengals vs. Texans
42.5¢
Bengals
57.5¢
Texans
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets65Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 60%💡 2 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:29 trades$81.8K tracked3% 🐋source coverage 39%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 89 min agoofficial metadata 51s ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Bengals · $62.1K net·2 wallets(1🐋)·$67.1K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYBengals$15.9K@ 43¢·Herdonia

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
−$19
tracked
$81.8K

2 verified profitable wallets: Bengals · $62.1K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 60% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 89 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-20 17:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.nfl.com/scores
Outcome meaning

•If Bengals wins, the market will resolve to "Bengals".

•If Texans wins, the market will resolve to "Texans".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for September 20 at 1:00PM ET: If Bengals wins, the market will resolve to "Bengals". If Texans wins, the market will resolve to "Texans". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely or ends in a tie, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ACCUMULATIONBUY Bengals@ 44.0¢12h ago
15m STALLED -2.0pp1h STALLED -2.0pp6h STALLED -2.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Bengals@ 44.0¢12h ago
15m STALLED -2.0pp1h STALLED -2.0pp6h STALLED -2.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Bengals@ 42.0¢14h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp6h STALLED +0.0pp

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Bengals; negative values favor Texans. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hBengals · $0
6hTexans · $19
24hBengals · $79.5K

Bengals price VWAP

Volume-weighted Bengals price. Texans fills are converted to the complementary Bengals probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current42.5¢
VWAP 24h42.4¢▲ above by 0.1pp
VWAP 7d42.3¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

Bengals price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
← now
$92.4K
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 40¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYBengals$15.9K@ 43.0¢
Herdonia0xd106…c79c
🐋—about 12 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

HerdoniaBengals$64.6K
BUY VWAP 42.8¢·17 fills
monkeymashingkeyboardBengals$14.8K
BUY VWAP 41.0¢·4 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.