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Dota 2: PlayTime vs Team Cobra - Game 1 Winner

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: about 2 hoursLiquidity: $709.5KOfficial 24h Vol: $261.2KEvent: Dota 2: PlayTime vs Team Cobra (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage
99.9¢
PlayTime
0.1¢
Team Cobra
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection1Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets2Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 74%💡 18 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:146 trades$81.1K tracked1% 🐋source coverage 35%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 7 min agoofficial metadata 45s ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:PlayTime · $358 net·18 wallets·$14.5K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYPlayTime$10.0K@ 61¢·0xe16d…5e30

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
−$407
6h
+$28.3K
tracked
$81.1K

18 verified profitable wallets: PlayTime · $358 net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 74% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: +34.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Less than 2h remains; resolution risk is elevated.
  • •Executable BUY price moved 34.0pp since the latest alert; its original entry no longer exists.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-20 11:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.dotabuff.com
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "PlayTime" if PlayTime win Game 1 against Team Cobra.

•This market will resolve to "Team Cobra" if Team Cobra win Game 1 against PlayTime.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Dota 2 Round 2 match between PlayTime and Team Cobra in the PGL Wallachia Group Stage, initially scheduled for September 20, 2026 at 3:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "PlayTime" if PlayTime win Game 1 against Team Cobra. This market will resolve to "Team Cobra" if Team Cobra win Game 1 against PlayTime. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 4, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 20, 2026 at 3:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY PlayTime1h ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY PlayTime@ 66.0¢1h ago
15m CONFIRMED +7.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: PlayTime UP 5.0pp · near-book depth $26 → $219 · 1s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor PlayTime; negative values favor Team Cobra. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hTeam Cobra · $407
6hPlayTime · $28.3K
24hPlayTime · $28.3K

PlayTime price VWAP

Volume-weighted PlayTime price. Team Cobra fills are converted to the complementary PlayTime probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current99.9¢
VWAP 24h74.7¢▲ above by 25.2pp
VWAP 7d74.7¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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PlayTime price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$18.1K
90¢
$1.6K
85¢
$2.1K
80¢
$3.2K
75¢
$8.3K
70¢
$3.9K
65¢
$17.7K
60¢
$18.7K
55¢
$7.6K
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 60¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYPlayTime$10.0K@ 61.3¢0xe16d…5e30🐋—about 2 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0xe16d…5e30PlayTime$21.0K
BUY VWAP 63.9¢·7 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.