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Caldas da Rainha: Malaika Rapolu vs Gabriela Knutson

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $1.2MOfficial 24h Vol: $758.3KEvent: Caldas da Rainha: Malaika Rapolu vs Gabriela Knutson
0.1¢
Malaika Rapolu
100.0¢
Gabriela Knutson
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection9Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets5Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 75%💡 13 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:107 trades$304.9K tracked7% 🐋source coverage 40%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 12 min agoofficial metadata 3 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Malaika Rapolu · $11.7K net·13 wallets(3🐋)·$234.9K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYGabriela Knutson$25.0K@ 69¢·Marcoli

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Malaika Rapolu pressure: $28.3K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$28.3K
6h
−$11.8K
tracked
$304.9K

13 verified profitable wallets: Malaika Rapolu · $11.7K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 75% · priority 0

Since latest market sweep: -45.9pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Observed tape is 12 minutes old.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Malaika Rapolu or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-25 12:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Malaika Rapolu and Gabriela Knutson in the Caldas da Rainha, originally scheduled for September 18, 2026 at 8:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Malaika Rapolu' if Malaika Rapolu advances against Gabriela Knutson. This market will resolve to 'Gabriela Knutson' if Gabriela Knutson advances against Malaika Rapolu. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Malaika Rapolu26m ago
Outcome checks pending
ANTI CHASEBUY Malaika Rapolu26m ago
Outcome checks pending
MARKET SWEEPBUY Malaika Rapolu@ 46.0¢32m ago
15m UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Malaika Rapolu@ 44.0¢41m ago
15m CONFIRMED +10.0pp
Latest book event: Gabriela Knutson UP 5.5pp · near-book depth $28 → $813 · 2s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Malaika Rapolu; negative values favor Gabriela Knutson. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hMalaika Rapolu · $28.3K
6hGabriela Knutson · $11.8K
24hGabriela Knutson · $11.8K

Malaika Rapolu price VWAP

Volume-weighted Malaika Rapolu price. Gabriela Knutson fills are converted to the complementary Malaika Rapolu probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.1¢
VWAP 24h43.2¢▼ below by 43.2pp
VWAP 7d43.2¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

Malaika Rapolu price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$5
75¢
$15.0K
70¢
$0
65¢
$11.9K
60¢
$22.1K
55¢
$7.5K
50¢
$58.2K
45¢
$38.3K
40¢
$23.0K
35¢
$32.5K
30¢
$33.6K
25¢
$29.1K
20¢
$6.7K
15¢
$4.6K
10¢
$16.4K
5¢
$0
0¢
← now
$5.9K

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYGabriela Knutson$25.0K@ 69.4¢
Marcoli0xdbbb…05a8
🐋—20 minutes ago
SELLGabriela Knutson$10.5K@ 46.6¢
Marcoli0xdbbb…05a8
🐋—31 minutes ago
BUYMalaika Rapolu$16.4K@ 49.0¢0x1610…ae49🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYMalaika Rapolu$10.0K@ 43.1¢0x78be…bde0🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYMalaika Rapolu$19.7K@ 54.0¢
fkcvffcjt0x67ac…edf1
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYGabriela Knutson$19.2K@ 47.0¢0x1610…ae49🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYGabriela Knutson$10.5K@ 54.0¢0x1610…ae49🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYGabriela Knutson$11.1K@ 72.0¢0x1610…ae49🐋—about 2 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x1610…ae49Gabriela Knutson$91.3K
BUY VWAP 43.7¢·16 fills
0x1610…ae49Malaika Rapolu$83.8K
BUY VWAP 34.3¢·16 fills
MarcoliGabriela Knutson$33.0K
BUY VWAP 56.3¢·2 fills
fkcvffcjtMalaika Rapolu$29.2K
BUY VWAP 49.7¢·3 fills
UpTheBluesGabriela Knutson$10.1K
BUY VWAP 70.6¢·4 fills
0x78be…bde0Malaika Rapolu$10.0K
BUY VWAP 43.1¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.