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Counter-Strike: magic vs MIBR - Map 2 Winner

Sports→Settlement: magicLiquidity: $1.2MOfficial 24h Vol: $489.5KEvent: Counter-Strike: magic vs MIBR (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs
100.0¢
magic payout
0.0¢
MIBR payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:138 trades$169.4K tracked1% 🐋source coverage 35%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 24 min agoofficial metadata 53s ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:MIBR · $4.7K net·11 wallets(1🐋)·$53.8K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLmagic$14.3K@ 100¢·a4ccv1dagv

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome magic. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-09-18 19:10 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://hltv.org
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "magic" if magic win Map 2 against MIBR.

•This market will resolve to "MIBR" if MIBR win Map 2 against magic.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Lower Bracket Round 1 match between magic and MIBR in the StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 18, 2026 at 8:30 AM ET. This market will resolve to "magic" if magic win Map 2 against MIBR. This market will resolve to "MIBR" if MIBR win Map 2 against magic. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2. If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 2, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 18, 2026 at 8:30 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
Diabolical-Prize2 linked markets · $83.2K gross
0x29b5…cc6c2 linked markets · $49.0K gross
0x1610…ae492 linked markets · $47.2K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: magic DOWN 4.5pp · near-book depth $17.1K → $253 · 15s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor magic; negative values favor MIBR. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hMIBR · $32.3K
6hMIBR · $38.0K
24hMIBR · $38.0K

magic price VWAP

Volume-weighted magic price. MIBR fills are converted to the complementary magic probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h61.5¢▲ above by 38.5pp
VWAP 7d61.5¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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magic price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$56.2K
90¢
$1.9K
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$8.5K
70¢
$4.9K
65¢
$6.0K
60¢
$1.3K
55¢
$2.3K
50¢
$4.0K
45¢
$2.0K
40¢
$14.9K
35¢
$10.8K
30¢
$20.5K
25¢
$35.8K
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$29
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLmagic$14.3K@ 99.9¢
a4ccv1dagv0x2bf2…3a9e
🐋—30 minutes ago
BUYMIBR$12.5K@ 73.0¢0x1610…ae49🐋—about 2 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x1610…ae49MIBR$16.6K
BUY VWAP 71.4¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.