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Szczecin: Tom Gentzsch vs Luka Mikrut

Sports→Settlement: Luka MikrutLiquidity: $149.5KOfficial 24h Vol: $429.8KEvent: Szczecin: Tom Gentzsch vs Luka Mikrut
0.0¢
Tom Gentzsch payout
100.0¢
Luka Mikrut payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:83 trades$141.9K tracked4% 🐋source coverage 33%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 42 min agoofficial metadata 13 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Luka Mikrut · $29.1K net·7 wallets(2🐋)·$97.8K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYLuka Mikrut$11.1K@ 59¢·0x1610…ae49

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Luka Mikrut. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-09-25 08:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Tom Gentzsch and Luka Mikrut in the Szczecin, originally scheduled for September 18, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tom Gentzsch' if Tom Gentzsch advances against Luka Mikrut. This market will resolve to 'Luka Mikrut' if Luka Mikrut advances against Tom Gentzsch. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

MARKET SWEEPBUY Tom Gentzsch@ 47.0¢1h ago
15m INVALIDATED -45.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Luka Mikrut@ 51.0¢2h ago
15m STALLED +1.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE
ANTI CHASEBUY Tom Gentzsch2h ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Tom Gentzsch@ 19.0¢2h ago
15m STALLED +0.0pp1h CONFIRMED +22.0pp
Latest book event: Tom Gentzsch DOWN 5.5pp · near-book depth $5.4K → $506 · 6s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Tom Gentzsch; negative values favor Luka Mikrut. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hLuka Mikrut · $2.7K
6hLuka Mikrut · $5.9K
24hLuka Mikrut · $3.4K

Tom Gentzsch price VWAP

Volume-weighted Tom Gentzsch price. Luka Mikrut fills are converted to the complementary Tom Gentzsch probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h31.6¢▼ below by 31.6pp
VWAP 7d31.6¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Tom Gentzsch price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$22.0K
45¢
$36.1K
40¢
$17.5K
35¢
$1.7K
30¢
$2.3K
25¢
$7.6K
20¢
$16.7K
15¢
$1.2K
10¢
$354
5¢
$24.0K
0¢
← now
$12.4K

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYLuka Mikrut$10.4K@ 91.0¢
Flaznorp0x821d…cf16
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYTom Gentzsch$10.9K@ 49.7¢
ROI-Value0x689f…259c
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYLuka Mikrut$11.1K@ 59.0¢0x1610…ae49🐋—about 2 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x1610…ae49Luka Mikrut$39.7K
BUY VWAP 53.9¢·10 fills
0x1610…ae49Tom Gentzsch$32.9K
BUY VWAP 24.1¢·15 fills
ROI-ValueTom Gentzsch$10.9K
BUY VWAP 49.7¢·1 fill
FlaznorpLuka Mikrut$10.4K
BUY VWAP 91.0¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.