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Sri Lanka Tour of England ODIs: England vs Sri Lanka

● quote 31s ago
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $92.3KOfficial 24h Vol: $313.9KEvent: Sri Lanka Tour of England ODIs: England vs Sri Lanka
1.0¢
England
99.9¢
Sri Lanka
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets54Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution98Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 74%💡 7 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:107 trades$115.6K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 37%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 21 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:England · $23.9K net·7 wallets(1🐋)·$44.6K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYEngland$19.3K@ 81¢·jaytee158

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
+$1
6h
+$1.4K
tracked
$115.6K

7 verified profitable wallets: England · $23.9K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 74% · priority 0

Since latest market sweep: -98.9pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Observed tape is 21 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-01 11:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.espncricinfo.com/
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the cricket match between England and Sri Lanka scheduled for September 24 2026 at 7:30 AM ET in Sri Lanka Tour of England ODIs. DLS/DRS, over-rate penalties, forfeit/walkover, or any other on-field ruling that leads the competition to declare a winner are treated as ordinary wins. If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the winner determined by that tiebreak will be used for resolution. If the match ends tied and no on-field tiebreak is used or available under the playing conditions (e.g., group-stage ODI with no Super Over), the market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed/rescheduled, the market remains open until the listed fixture is completed. If the match is permanently canceled or abandoned or otherwise is completed without a winner, the market resolves 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

MARKET SWEEPBUY Sri Lanka@ 98.9¢2h ago
15m UNAVAILABLE1h UNAVAILABLE
ANTI CHASEBUY England5h ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY England@ 83.0¢5h ago
15m CONFIRMED +6.0pp1h CONFIRMED +12.0pp
Latest book event: England DOWN 6.6pp · near-book depth $63 → $6 · 5s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor England; negative values favor Sri Lanka. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hEngland · $1
6hEngland · $1.4K
24hEngland · $10.6K

England price VWAP

Volume-weighted England price. Sri Lanka fills are converted to the complementary England probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current1.0¢
VWAP 24h51.9¢▼ below by 50.9pp
VWAP 7d51.9¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

England price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$1
90¢
$11.7K
85¢
$3.9K
80¢
$28.1K
75¢
$1.2K
70¢
$16.0K
65¢
$11.3K
60¢
$3.3K
55¢
$98
50¢
$76
45¢
$78
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$6
20¢
$834
15¢
$0
10¢
$1.0K
5¢
$0
0¢
← now
$37.9K

VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYSri Lanka$11.9K@ 99.3¢
Rudra070x77bd…a9fe
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYEngland$19.3K@ 80.9¢
jaytee1580xa2c9…2c23
🐋—about 6 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

midwicket72England$20.5K
BUY VWAP 82.7¢·6 fills
jaytee158England$19.3K
BUY VWAP 80.9¢·1 fill
dpk-501Sri Lanka$18.6K
BUY VWAP 99.8¢·2 fills
NonTificantEngland$13.6K
BUY VWAP 73.4¢·4 fills
Rudra07Sri Lanka$11.9K
BUY VWAP 99.3¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.