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Washington Nationals vs. Detroit Tigers

● quote 13s ago
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $532.8KOfficial 24h Vol: $172.9KEvent: Washington Nationals vs. Detroit Tigers
44.5¢
Washington Nationals
55.5¢
Detroit Tigers
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 62%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:12 trades$86.0K tracked17% 🐋source coverage 50%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 49 min agoofficial metadata 2 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYDetroit Tigers$55.4K@ 57¢·TennisLove

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
+$7
6h
−$82.8K
tracked
$86.0K

1 verified profitable wallet: Washington Nationals · $1.2K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 62% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: +0.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 49 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-28 22:40 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Washington Nationals" if the Washington Nationals win the game.

•This market will resolve to "Detroit Tigers" if the Detroit Tigers win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Washington Nationals and Detroit Tigers, scheduled for September 21 at 6:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Washington Nationals" if the Washington Nationals win the game. This market will resolve to "Detroit Tigers" if the Detroit Tigers win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Detroit Tigers@ 56.0¢5h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Washington Nationals; negative values favor Detroit Tigers. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hWashington Nationals · $7
6hDetroit Tigers · $82.8K
24hDetroit Tigers · $79.5K

Washington Nationals price VWAP

Volume-weighted Washington Nationals price. Detroit Tigers fills are converted to the complementary Washington Nationals probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current44.5¢
VWAP 24h43.3¢▲ above by 1.2pp
VWAP 7d43.3¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Washington Nationals price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$8
40¢
← now
$86.0K
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 40¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYDetroit Tigers$55.4K@ 57.0¢
TennisLove0x2f44…93c2
🐋—about 5 hours ago
BUYDetroit Tigers$26.1K@ 56.0¢
TennisLove0x2f44…93c2
🐋—about 5 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

TennisLoveDetroit Tigers$81.5K
BUY VWAP 56.7¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.