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Giants vs. Rams: O/U 47.5

● quote 22s ago
Sports→Closes: about 3 hoursLiquidity: $882.4KOfficial 24h Vol: $1.0MEvent: Giants vs. Rams
49.5¢
Over
50.5¢
Under
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection92Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority70Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 89%
24h sample:21 trades$561.7K tracked14% 🐋source coverage 54%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 3 min agoofficial metadata 3 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYUnder$282.3K@ 51¢·ratatatatatatatataaaa

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

REVIEW Under SETUP
What the tape says

Under pressure: $517.7K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$517.7K
6h
−$522.9K
tracked
$561.7K

No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 89% · priority 70

Since latest large flow: +0.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Less than 3h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Under or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-22 00:15 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.nfl.com/scores
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Over" if the Giants and Rams combine to score 48 or more points in this game.

•If the combined total is less than 48, this market will resolve to "Under".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for September 21 at 8:15 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if the Giants and Rams combine to score 48 or more points in this game. If the combined total is less than 48, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
SunlineTicker3 linked markets · $23.7K gross
TB142 linked markets · $15.0K gross
walter-whitewich3 linked markets · $13.5K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Under@ 51.0¢1m ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Under@ 52.0¢31m ago
15m STALLED -2.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Under@ 51.0¢37m ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Over; negative values favor Under. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hUnder · $517.7K
6hUnder · $522.9K
24hUnder · $525.0K

Over price VWAP

Volume-weighted Over price. Under fills are converted to the complementary Over probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current49.5¢
VWAP 24h49.0¢▲ above by 0.5pp
VWAP 7d49.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Over price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$13.1K
45¢
← now
$548.5K
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYUnder$37.9K@ 51.0¢
Tiger2000x6211…b89e
🐋—4 minutes ago
BUYUnder$208.5K@ 51.0¢
Tiger2000x6211…b89e
🐋—35 minutes ago
BUYUnder$282.3K@ 51.0¢
ratatatatatatatataaaa0x7f8e…4487
🐋—42 minutes ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Giants vs. Rams
26.5¢$498.0Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Rams (-7.5)
43.5¢$207.1Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Rams (-6.5)
51.5¢$165.3Kpriority51Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Rams (-4.5)
57.5¢$136.1Kpriority56Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Exact Margin: Giants by 25+
0.7¢$126.1Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: LA (-9.5)
41.5¢$55.9Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Rams (-8.5)
42.5¢$3.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Giants vs. Rams: O/U 51.5
37.5¢$1.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

ratatatatatatatataaaaUnder$283.3K
BUY VWAP 51.0¢·2 fills
Tiger200Under$246.4K
BUY VWAP 51.0¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.