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Spread: Rams (-7.5)

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: about 2 hoursLiquidity: $1.0MOfficial 24h Vol: $211.5KEvent: Giants vs. Rams
43.5¢
Rams
56.5¢
Giants
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly82Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection2Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 61%
24h sample:19 trades$92.8K tracked11% 🐋source coverage 44%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 38 min agoofficial metadata just now
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYRams$14.7K@ 45¢·vilkaZ

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Giants pressure: $2.3K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$2.3K
6h
+$74.5K
tracked
$92.8K

No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 61% · priority 0

Since latest liquidity absorption: -1.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 38 minutes old.
  • •Less than 2h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Giants or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-22 00:15 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.nfl.com/scores
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Rams" if the Rams win the game by 8 or more points.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Giants". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Giants".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for September 21 at 8:15 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Rams" if the Rams win the game by 8 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Giants". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Giants". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
SunlineTicker3 linked markets · $23.7K gross
TB142 linked markets · $15.0K gross
walter-whitewich3 linked markets · $13.5K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LIQUIDITY ABSORPTIONBUY Rams@ 45.0¢53m ago
15m STALLED -2.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Rams@ 45.0¢1h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -2.0pp

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Rams; negative values favor Giants. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hGiants · $2.3K
6hRams · $74.5K
24hRams · $74.5K

Rams price VWAP

Volume-weighted Rams price. Giants fills are converted to the complementary Rams probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current43.5¢
VWAP 24h44.7¢▼ below by 1.2pp
VWAP 7d44.8¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Rams price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$72.2K
40¢
← now
$23.8K
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYRams$14.7K@ 45.0¢
vilkaZ0x5f38…eb70
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYRams$13.5K@ 45.0¢
Yellow-Fever0xda85…1ca7
🐋—about 1 hour ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Giants vs. Rams: O/U 47.5
49.5¢$1.1Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Giants vs. Rams
26.5¢$520.1Kpriority69Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Rams (-6.5)
51.5¢$177.2Kpriority53Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Rams (-4.5)
57.5¢$136.7Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Exact Margin: Giants by 25+
0.7¢$126.1Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: LA (-9.5)
41.5¢$55.9Kpriority47Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Rams (-8.5)
42.5¢$3.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Giants vs. Rams: O/U 51.5
37.5¢$1.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

Yellow-FeverRams$21.9K
BUY VWAP 45.0¢·2 fills
vilkaZRams$14.7K
BUY VWAP 45.0¢·1 fill
n0tTODAYRams$11.7K
BUY VWAP 44.5¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.