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Spread: Rams (-6.5)

● quote 22s ago
Sports→Closes: about 3 hoursLiquidity: $1.9MOfficial 24h Vol: $165.3KEvent: Giants vs. Rams
51.5¢
Rams
48.5¢
Giants
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection5Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority51Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 76%💡 2 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:33 trades$70.2K tracked3% 🐋source coverage 42%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 9 min agoofficial metadata 3 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Rams · $8.4K net·2 wallets·$17.6K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYRams$31.2K@ 52¢·SDTrading

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WATCH — NO CONFIRMED SETUP
What the tape says

Rams pressure: $3.6K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$3.6K
6h
+$59.2K
tracked
$70.2K

2 verified profitable wallets: Rams · $8.4K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 76% · priority 51

Since latest large flow: +0.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Less than 3h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Rams or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-22 00:15 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.nfl.com/scores
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Rams" if the Rams win the game by 7 or more points.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Giants". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Giants".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for September 21 at 8:15 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Rams" if the Rams win the game by 7 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Giants". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Giants". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
SunlineTicker3 linked markets · $23.7K gross
TB142 linked markets · $15.0K gross
walter-whitewich3 linked markets · $13.5K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Rams@ 52.0¢3h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Rams; negative values favor Giants. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hRams · $3.6K
6hRams · $59.2K
24hRams · $62.9K

Rams price VWAP

Volume-weighted Rams price. Giants fills are converted to the complementary Rams probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current51.5¢
VWAP 24h52.0¢▼ below by 0.5pp
VWAP 7d52.5¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Rams price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$3.2K
50¢
← now
$89.1K
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYRams$31.2K@ 52.0¢
SDTrading0x16bb…8492
🐋—about 3 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Giants vs. Rams: O/U 47.5
49.5¢$1.0Mpriority70Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Giants vs. Rams
26.5¢$498.0Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Rams (-7.5)
43.5¢$207.1Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Rams (-4.5)
57.5¢$136.1Kpriority56Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Exact Margin: Giants by 25+
0.7¢$126.1Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: LA (-9.5)
41.5¢$55.9Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Rams (-8.5)
42.5¢$3.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Giants vs. Rams: O/U 51.5
37.5¢$1.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

SDTradingRams$31.2K
BUY VWAP 52.0¢·1 fill
wan123Rams$13.0K
BUY VWAP 53.2¢·2 fills
mooseborzoiRams$10.8K
BUY VWAP 52.0¢·10 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.