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Athletics vs. Cleveland Guardians

Sports→Settlement: Cleveland GuardiansLiquidity: $193.2KOfficial 24h Vol: $312.8KEvent: Athletics vs. Cleveland Guardians
0.0¢
Athletics payout
100.0¢
Cleveland Guardians payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Cleveland Guardians · $14.6K net·8 wallets·$27.9K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYCleveland Guardians$18.5K@ 69¢·SDTrading

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Cleveland Guardians. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-09-27 17:40 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Athletics" if the Athletics win the game.

•This market will resolve to "Cleveland Guardians" if the Cleveland Guardians win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Athletics and Cleveland Guardians, scheduled for September 20 at 1:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Athletics" if the Athletics win the game. This market will resolve to "Cleveland Guardians" if the Cleveland Guardians win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
HomeRunHazard2 linked markets · $19.5K gross
kabina-2 linked markets · $9.1K gross
Flaznorp2 linked markets · $8.9K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Cleveland Guardians@ 82.0¢3d ago
15m INVALIDATED -5.0pp1h CONFIRMED +6.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Cleveland Guardians@ 82.0¢3d ago
15m INVALIDATED -5.0pp1h CONFIRMED +6.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Athletics; negative values favor Cleveland Guardians. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hCleveland Guardians · $16.1K
6hCleveland Guardians · $51.2K
24hCleveland Guardians · $72.7K

Athletics price VWAP

Volume-weighted Athletics price. Cleveland Guardians fills are converted to the complementary Athletics probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h26.2¢▼ below by 26.2pp
VWAP 7d26.2¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Athletics price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$10.4K
35¢
$174
30¢
$64.1K
25¢
$2
20¢
$8.2K
15¢
$19.4K
10¢
$1.9K
5¢
$4.8K
0¢
← now
$7.8K

VPOC = 30¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYCleveland Guardians$12.9K@ 69.0¢
maz260x6754…e3bc
🐋—3 days ago
BUYCleveland Guardians$11.6K@ 69.0¢
maz260x6754…e3bc
🐋—3 days ago
BUYCleveland Guardians$18.5K@ 69.0¢
SDTrading0x16bb…8492
🐋—3 days ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

maz26Cleveland Guardians$34.1K
BUY VWAP 69.3¢·3 fills
SDTradingCleveland Guardians$18.5K
BUY VWAP 69.0¢·1 fill
curieCleveland Guardians$10.9K
BUY VWAP 90.6¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.