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Counter-Strike: NRG vs Liquid (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest: North American Qualifier Playoffs

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: about 4 hoursLiquidity: $20.9KOfficial 24h Vol: $225.5KEvent: Counter-Strike: NRG vs Liquid (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest: North American Qualifier Playoffs
63.0¢
NRG
37.0¢
Liquid
2.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection5Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets53Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution77Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority53Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 76%💡 7 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:83 trades$88.1K tracked4% 🐋source coverage 42%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 9 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:NRG · $4.3K net·7 wallets·$8.1K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYLiquid$30.0K@ 60¢·0xc74e…e725

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WATCH — NO CONFIRMED SETUP
What the tape says

NRG pressure: $4.4K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$4.4K
6h
−$6.5K
tracked
$88.1K

7 verified profitable wallets: NRG · $4.3K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
2.0¢displayed spread

Workable spread; verify depth and the $10K slippage estimate below.

Data confidence 76% · priority 53

Since latest large flow: -27.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Less than 4h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from NRG or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-12 08:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://hltv.org
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "NRG" if NRG win the match against Liquid.

•This market will resolve to "Liquid" if Liquid win the match against NRG.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper Bracket Final match between NRG and Liquid in the PGL Masters Bucharest: North American Qualifier Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 11, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "NRG" if NRG win the match against Liquid. This market will resolve to "Liquid" if Liquid win the match against NRG. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 25, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 11, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY NRG1h ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Liquid@ 65.0¢1h ago
15m INVALIDATED -26.0pp1h INVALIDATED -24.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY NRG@ 37.0¢1h ago
15m CONFIRMED +22.0pp1h CONFIRMED +21.0pp
Latest book event: NRG UP 7.0pp · near-book depth $3.2K → $3.1K · 41s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor NRG; negative values favor Liquid. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hNRG · $4.4K
6hLiquid · $6.5K
24hLiquid · $24.4K

NRG price VWAP

Volume-weighted NRG price. Liquid fills are converted to the complementary NRG probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current63.0¢
VWAP 24h42.0¢▲ above by 21.0pp
VWAP 7d42.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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NRG price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$22
65¢
$137
60¢
← now
$4.7K
55¢
$306
50¢
$2.5K
45¢
$884
40¢
$79.4K
35¢
$56
30¢
$45
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 40¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYLiquid$30.0K@ 60.0¢0xc74e…e725🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYNRG$12.9K@ 41.0¢
lllllllIlll0xe40e…9770
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYLiquid$11.2K@ 60.0¢
sdjhkw10xb4a0…968d
🐋—about 6 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0xc74e…e725Liquid$30.0K
BUY VWAP 60.0¢·1 fill
lllllllIlllNRG$23.9K
BUY VWAP 41.3¢·3 fills
sdjhkw1Liquid$11.2K
BUY VWAP 60.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.