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Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Alliance (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Playoffs

Sports→Settlement: MIBRLiquidity: $246.9KOfficial 24h Vol: $702.1KEvent: Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Alliance (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Playoffs
100.0¢
MIBR payout
0.0¢
Alliance payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYAlliance$22.2K@ 44¢·0x1610…ae49

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome MIBR. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-09-11 12:10 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://hltv.org
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "MIBR" if MIBR win the match against Alliance.

•This market will resolve to "Alliance" if Alliance win the match against MIBR.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Quarterfinal 2 match between MIBR and Alliance in the FISSURE PLAYGROUND Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 11, 2026 at 2:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "MIBR" if MIBR win the match against Alliance. This market will resolve to "Alliance" if Alliance win the match against MIBR. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 25, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 11, 2026 at 2:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY MIBR@ 55.0¢14d ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp6h STALLED +1.0pp24h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY MIBR@ 52.0¢14d ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED +0.0pp6h STALLED +2.0pp24h UNAVAILABLE

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor MIBR; negative values favor Alliance. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hAlliance · $28.0K
6hAlliance · $55.1K
24hAlliance · $5.3K

MIBR price VWAP

Volume-weighted MIBR price. Alliance fills are converted to the complementary MIBR probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h67.4¢▲ above by 32.6pp
VWAP 7d67.4¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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MIBR price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$62.7K
90¢
$281
85¢
$1.5K
80¢
$19.6K
75¢
$104
70¢
$9.6K
65¢
$1.3K
60¢
$1.5K
55¢
$106.8K
50¢
$77.1K
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 55¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYMIBR$16.7K@ 99.9¢
LhordGryffin0x9909…311c
🐋—14 days ago
BUYAlliance$10.0K@ 18.2¢
vjnn0x55a1…db28
🐋—14 days ago
BUYAlliance$22.2K@ 44.0¢0x1610…ae49🐋—14 days ago
BUYAlliance$15.0K@ 44.0¢
CORGI80x79ae…9a4a
🐋—14 days ago
SELLMIBR$10.2K@ 51.0¢
TrippleEX0x994e…6136
🐋—14 days ago
BUYMIBR$10.4K@ 52.0¢
TrippleEX0x994e…6136
🐋—14 days ago
BUYMIBR$18.2K@ 52.0¢
skyman440x30c7…ac3b
🐋—14 days ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.