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Map Handicap: AST (-1.5) vs 5star (+1.5)

Sports→Settlement: 5starLiquidity: $144.0KOfficial 24h Vol: $140.9KEvent: Counter-Strike: Astralis vs 5star (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group A
0.0¢
Astralis payout
100.0¢
5star payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:38 trades$46.7K trackedsource coverage 33%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 76 min agoofficial metadata 10 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Astralis · $13.1K net·3 wallets·$27.1K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYAstralis$6.4K@ 72¢·0x29b5…cc6c

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome 5star. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-09-10 13:20 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://hltv.org
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Astralis" if Astralis wins 2 or more maps than 5star in this match.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "5star".

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Lower bracket semifinal 1 match between Astralis and 5star in the FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group A, initially scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 2:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Astralis" if Astralis wins 2 or more maps than 5star in this match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "5star". Maps won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 24, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 10, 2026 at 2:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match ends due to the clinching map being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0x29b5…cc6c4 linked markets · $61.3K gross
aaaa2983 linked markets · $43.2K gross
RN13 linked markets · $34.1K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Astralis DOWN 23.0pp · near-book depth $293 → $93 · 87s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Astralis; negative values favor 5star. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hAstralis · $0
6hAstralis · $4.4K
24hAstralis · $27.2K

Astralis price VWAP

Volume-weighted Astralis price. 5star fills are converted to the complementary Astralis probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h60.9¢▼ below by 60.9pp
VWAP 7d60.9¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Astralis price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$38.0K
65¢
$1.0K
60¢
$4
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$36
35¢
$110
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$3
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
← now
$7.5K

VPOC = 70¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x29b5…cc6cAstralis$18.2K
BUY VWAP 73.0¢·5 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.