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Seattle Mariners vs. Athletics

Sports→Settlement: AthleticsLiquidity: $232.8KOfficial 24h Vol: $337.7KEvent: Seattle Mariners vs. Athletics
0.0¢
Seattle Mariners payout
100.0¢
Athletics payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:2 trades$3.6K trackedsource coverage 41%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 1437 min agoofficial metadata 1414 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Athletics · $12.9K net·16 wallets·$28.6K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLSeattle Mariners$24.8K@ 84¢·0xd4fe…c916

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Athletics. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-09-20 20:05 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Seattle Mariners" if the Seattle Mariners win the game.

•This market will resolve to "Athletics" if the Athletics win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Seattle Mariners and Athletics, scheduled for September 13 at 4:05PM ET: This market will resolve to "Seattle Mariners" if the Seattle Mariners win the game. This market will resolve to "Athletics" if the Athletics win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Seattle Mariners1d ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Seattle Mariners@ 48.0¢1d ago
15m CONFIRMED +11.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Athletics@ 71.0¢1d ago
15m INVALIDATED -10.0pp1h INVALIDATED -60.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
MARKET SWEEPBUY Athletics@ 66.0¢1d ago
15m STALLED +2.0pp1h INVALIDATED -45.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Seattle Mariners; negative values favor Athletics. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hAthletics · $22.1K
6hSeattle Mariners · $304
24hAthletics · $20.2K

Seattle Mariners price VWAP

Volume-weighted Seattle Mariners price. Athletics fills are converted to the complementary Seattle Mariners probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h61.4¢▼ below by 61.4pp
VWAP 7d61.4¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Seattle Mariners price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$22
90¢
$3.9K
85¢
$3.4K
80¢
$29.1K
75¢
$1.7K
70¢
$555
65¢
$31.1K
60¢
$5.2K
55¢
$30.0K
50¢
$2.8K
45¢
$4.3K
40¢
$12.2K
35¢
$4.5K
30¢
$56
25¢
$65
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
← now
$8.8K

VPOC = 65¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLSeattle Mariners$24.8K@ 84.0¢0xd4fe…c916🐋—1 day ago
BUYSeattle Mariners$20.6K@ 69.9¢0xd4fe…c916🐋—1 day ago
BUYAthletics$13.3K@ 44.8¢0x5e94…5ba1🐋—1 day ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0xd4fe…c916Seattle Mariners$20.6K
BUY VWAP 69.9¢·1 fill
0x5e94…5ba1Athletics$17.2K
BUY VWAP 44.4¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.