Spread: Chiefs (-2.5)
Decision read
Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation
Chiefs pressure: $17.9K net directional flow in 1h.
No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.
Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.
Data confidence 58% · priority 0
Since latest large flow: +0.0pp at executable prices.
Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.
- •Observed tape is 41 minutes old.
- •Less than 6h remains; resolution risk is elevated.
The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Chiefs or execution deteriorates.
Resolution & market truth
Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis
•This market will resolve to "Chiefs" if the Chiefs win the game by 3 or more points.
•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Broncos". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Broncos".
Read full resolution rules
In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for September 14 at 8:15 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Chiefs" if the Chiefs win the game by 3 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Broncos". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Broncos". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.
Evidence receipts
Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible
Outcome Price History
Signals Trend
Market Analytics
Signed Order Flow
Chiefs price VWAP
Largest holders
Chiefs price Volume Profile · tracked 30d
VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC
Observed net position building
Related Markets · same event first, then category
Observed whale buys · 7d
Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome
Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.