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Kansas City Royals vs. Boston Red Sox

Sports→Settlement: Boston Red SoxLiquidity: $430.5KOfficial 24h Vol: $390.4KEvent: Kansas City Royals vs. Boston Red Sox
0.0¢
Kansas City Royals payout
100.0¢
Boston Red Sox payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:15 trades$23.3K trackedsource coverage 46%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 1433 min agoofficial metadata 1402 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Boston Red Sox · $15.7K net·15 wallets(1🐋)·$76.4K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYKansas City Royals$20.0K@ 36¢·ferrariChampions2026

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Boston Red Sox. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-09-20 19:05 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Kansas City Royals" if the Kansas City Royals win the game.

•This market will resolve to "Boston Red Sox" if the Boston Red Sox win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Kansas City Royals and Boston Red Sox, scheduled for September 13 at 1:35PM ET: This market will resolve to "Kansas City Royals" if the Kansas City Royals win the game. This market will resolve to "Boston Red Sox" if the Boston Red Sox win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Boston Red Sox1d ago
Outcome checks pending
ANTI CHASEBUY Boston Red Sox1d ago
Outcome checks pending
ACCUMULATIONBUY Boston Red Sox@ 67.0¢1d ago
15m CONFIRMED +9.0pp1h INVALIDATED -3.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Boston Red Sox@ 67.0¢1d ago
15m CONFIRMED +9.0pp1h INVALIDATED -3.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: Boston Red Sox UP 3.0pp · near-book depth $13.8K → $3.1K · 7s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Kansas City Royals; negative values favor Boston Red Sox. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hBoston Red Sox · $21.2K
6hBoston Red Sox · $94.7K
24hBoston Red Sox · $89.5K

Kansas City Royals price VWAP

Volume-weighted Kansas City Royals price. Boston Red Sox fills are converted to the complementary Kansas City Royals probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h28.1¢▼ below by 28.1pp
VWAP 7d28.1¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Kansas City Royals price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$7
35¢
$56.6K
30¢
$67.0K
25¢
$13.0K
20¢
$63
15¢
$2.5K
10¢
$12.7K
5¢
$20.9K
0¢
← now
$6.4K

VPOC = 30¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYBoston Red Sox$12.6K@ 67.0¢
xifutloong30x2dc1…b33c
🐋—1 day ago
BUYBoston Red Sox$14.1K@ 67.0¢
xifutloong30x2dc1…b33c
🐋—1 day ago
BUYBoston Red Sox$11.9K@ 66.0¢
xifutloong30x2dc1…b33c
🐋—1 day ago
BUYKansas City Royals$20.0K@ 36.0¢
ferrariChampions20260xfe78…0319
🐋—1 day ago
BUYBoston Red Sox$11.8K@ 64.0¢0x5e94…5ba1🐋—1 day ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

xifutloong3Boston Red Sox$50.5K
BUY VWAP 66.7¢·6 fills
ferrariChampions2026Kansas City Royals$28.6K
BUY VWAP 36.6¢·2 fills
HomeRunHazardBoston Red Sox$17.1K
BUY VWAP 83.2¢·4 fills
0x5e94…5ba1Boston Red Sox$11.8K
BUY VWAP 64.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.