Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-09-20?

● quote just now
SportsCloses: about 4 hoursLiquidity: $587.2KOfficial 24h Vol: $133.8KEvent: Manchester City FC vs. Sunderland AFC
9.5¢
YES
90.5¢
NO
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100direction11wallets95execution93priority0data 63%💡 3 smart
24h sample:19 trades$70.6K tracked16% 🐋source coverage 53%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 40 min agoofficial metadata 2 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:NO · $51.4K net·3 wallets(1🐋)·$53.8K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYNO$24.5K@ 91¢·0F62

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

NO pressure: $7.4K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$7.4K
6h
−$39.5K
tracked
$70.6K

3 verified profitable wallets: NO · $51.4K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 63% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: +0.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • Observed tape is 40 minutes old.
  • Less than 4h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from NO or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-20 13:00 UTC
Event constraint
Mutually exclusive
Outcome meaning

If Sunderland AFC wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".

Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming game, scheduled for September 20, 2026 If Sunderland AFC wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
mooseborzoi2 linked markets · $20.4K gross
0x076d…8d4c2 linked markets · $5.2K gross
quavoo2 linked markets · $2.7K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY NO@ 91.0¢5h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED +0.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY NO@ 91.0¢5h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED +0.0pp
ACCUMULATIONBUY NO@ 91.0¢5h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Lifecycleresolving

Signed Order Flow

1hNO · $7.4K
6hNO · $39.5K
24hNO · $67.5K

YES price VWAP

Current9.5¢
VWAP 24h9.0¢▲ above by 0.5pp
VWAP 7d9.0¢
Largest observed holders

Largest holders

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YES price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$1
5¢
← now
$70.6K
0¢
$0

VPOC = 5¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
BUYNO$24.5K@ 91.0¢
0F620xccd8…f4de
🐋about 5 hours ago
BUYNO$12.6K@ 91.0¢
0F620xccd8…f4de
🐋about 8 hours ago
BUYNO$15.6K@ 91.0¢
0F620xccd8…f4de
🐋about 8 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0F62No$52.6K
BUY VWAP 91.0¢·3 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.