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Antalya 4: Eva Bennemann vs Katarzyna Kawa

● quote 18s ago
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $197.6KOfficial 24h Vol: $70.4KEvent: Antalya 4: Eva Bennemann vs Katarzyna Kawa
100.0¢
Eva Bennemann
0.1¢
Katarzyna Kawa
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection62Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets98Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 74%💡 4 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:25 trades$25.6K tracked4% 🐋source coverage 36%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 22 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Eva Bennemann · $15.9K net·4 wallets(1🐋)·$16.2K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYEva Bennemann$11.1K@ 95¢·Flaznorp

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Eva Bennemann pressure: $15.8K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$15.8K
6h
+$6.8K
tracked
$25.6K

4 verified profitable wallets: Eva Bennemann · $15.9K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 74% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Observed tape is 22 minutes old.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Eva Bennemann or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-15 08:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Eva Bennemann and Katarzyna Kawa in the Antalya 4, originally scheduled for September 8, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Eva Bennemann' if Eva Bennemann advances against Katarzyna Kawa. This market will resolve to 'Katarzyna Kawa' if Katarzyna Kawa advances against Eva Bennemann. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Katarzyna Kawa UP 5.4pp · near-book depth $167 → $121 · 16s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.climax

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Eva Bennemann; negative values favor Katarzyna Kawa. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hEva Bennemann · $15.8K
6hEva Bennemann · $6.8K
24hEva Bennemann · $6.8K

Eva Bennemann price VWAP

Volume-weighted Eva Bennemann price. Katarzyna Kawa fills are converted to the complementary Eva Bennemann probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h82.8¢▲ above by 17.2pp
VWAP 7d82.8¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Eva Bennemann price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$11.3K
90¢
$5.0K
85¢
$87
80¢
$54
75¢
$0
70¢
$3
65¢
$4.0K
60¢
$127
55¢
$5.0K
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYEva Bennemann$11.1K@ 95.0¢
Flaznorp0x821d…cf16
🐋—about 1 hour ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

FlaznorpEva Bennemann$11.1K
BUY VWAP 95.0¢·4 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.