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Istanbul 3: Samir Hamza Reguig vs Maxim Zhukov

● quote 10s ago
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $96.1KOfficial 24h Vol: $634.7KEvent: Istanbul 3: Samir Hamza Reguig vs Maxim Zhukov
99.9¢
Samir Hamza Reguig
0.1¢
Maxim Zhukov
0.8¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection36Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets68Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution94Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 75%💡 10 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:162 trades$262.6K tracked7% 🐋source coverage 41%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 23 min agoofficial metadata 4 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Samir Hamza Reguig · $67.8K net·10 wallets(1🐋)·$99.2K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYSamir Hamza Reguig$24.1K@ 68¢·Kulilun

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

Samir Hamza Reguig pressure: $94.3K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$94.3K
6h
+$201.8K
tracked
$262.6K

10 verified profitable wallets: Samir Hamza Reguig · $67.8K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.8¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 75% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: +27.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Observed tape is 23 minutes old.
  • •Executable BUY price moved 27.0pp since the latest alert; its original entry no longer exists.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Samir Hamza Reguig or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-13 07:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Samir Hamza Reguig and Maxim Zhukov in the Istanbul 3, Turkiye, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 6, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Samir Hamza Reguig' if Samir Hamza Reguig advances against Maxim Zhukov. This market will resolve to 'Maxim Zhukov' if Maxim Zhukov advances against Samir Hamza Reguig. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Samir Hamza Reguig36m ago
Outcome checks pending
ANTI CHASEBUY Samir Hamza Reguig37m ago
Outcome checks pending
ANTI CHASEBUY Samir Hamza Reguig37m ago
Outcome checks pending
ANTI CHASEBUY Samir Hamza Reguig37m ago
Outcome checks pending
Latest book event: Samir Hamza Reguig DOWN 5.0pp · near-book depth $980 → $2.9K · 15s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Samir Hamza Reguig; negative values favor Maxim Zhukov. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hSamir Hamza Reguig · $94.3K
6hSamir Hamza Reguig · $201.8K
24hSamir Hamza Reguig · $201.8K

Samir Hamza Reguig price VWAP

Volume-weighted Samir Hamza Reguig price. Maxim Zhukov fills are converted to the complementary Samir Hamza Reguig probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current99.9¢
VWAP 24h63.5¢▲ above by 36.4pp
VWAP 7d63.5¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

Samir Hamza Reguig price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$2.0K
90¢
$24
85¢
$0
80¢
$10.5K
75¢
$3.4K
70¢
$37.7K
65¢
$76.4K
60¢
$53.7K
55¢
$21.3K
50¢
$37.0K
45¢
$10.6K
40¢
$9.3K
35¢
$775
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 65¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYSamir Hamza Reguig$13.6K@ 71.4¢
11vsldfdsgfkjgos0x3970…44ce
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYSamir Hamza Reguig$14.9K@ 71.1¢
Kulilun0xe76f…d40c
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYSamir Hamza Reguig$19.4K@ 68.5¢
Kulilun0xe76f…d40c
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYSamir Hamza Reguig$24.1K@ 68.4¢
Kulilun0xe76f…d40c
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYSamir Hamza Reguig$16.9K@ 67.5¢
Kulilun0xe76f…d40c
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYSamir Hamza Reguig$22.4K@ 62.2¢
Kulilun0xe76f…d40c
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYSamir Hamza Reguig$12.0K@ 62.3¢
Kulilun0xe76f…d40c
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYMaxim Zhukov$10.2K@ 18.8¢
11vsldfdsgfkjgos0x3970…44ce
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYSamir Hamza Reguig$11.9K@ 59.9¢
11vsldfdsgfkjgos0x3970…44ce
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYSamir Hamza Reguig$10.7K@ 51.4¢
11vsldfdsgfkjgos0x3970…44ce
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYSamir Hamza Reguig$10.9K@ 51.3¢
11vsldfdsgfkjgos0x3970…44ce
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYSamir Hamza Reguig$12.4K@ 52.3¢
11vsldfdsgfkjgos0x3970…44ce
🐋—about 2 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

KulilunSamir Hamza Reguig$142.5K
BUY VWAP 66.2¢·14 fills
11vsldfdsgfkjgosSamir Hamza Reguig$83.1K
BUY VWAP 53.9¢·10 fills
11vsldfdsgfkjgosMaxim Zhukov$10.2K
BUY VWAP 18.8¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.