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Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)

Sports→Settlement: Los Angeles DodgersLiquidity: $212.3KOfficial 24h Vol: $171.3KEvent: Washington Nationals vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
100.0¢
Los Angeles Dodgers payout
0.0¢
Washington Nationals payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Los Angeles Dodgers · $1.2K net·7 wallets·$3.9K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYLos Angeles Dodgers$35.0K@ 48¢·IcemanSeason

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Los Angeles Dodgers. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-09-07 02:10 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/scores
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Los Angeles Dodgers" if the Los Angeles Dodgers win the game by 2 or more runs.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Washington Nationals". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Washington Nationals".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Washington Nationals and Los Angeles Dodgers, scheduled for September 6 at 10:10 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Los Angeles Dodgers" if the Los Angeles Dodgers win the game by 2 or more runs. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Washington Nationals". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Washington Nationals". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
AV23IUa2 linked markets · $167.6K gross
1winstreak12 linked markets · $24.4K gross
0xbbf3…aa3a2 linked markets · $13.3K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Los Angeles Dodgers@ 47.0¢4d ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Los Angeles Dodgers; negative values favor Washington Nationals. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hWashington Nationals · $6.1K
6hLos Angeles Dodgers · $34.8K
24hLos Angeles Dodgers · $60.1K

Los Angeles Dodgers price VWAP

Volume-weighted Los Angeles Dodgers price. Washington Nationals fills are converted to the complementary Los Angeles Dodgers probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h51.0¢▲ above by 49.0pp
VWAP 7d51.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Los Angeles Dodgers price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$6.2K
90¢
$9
85¢
$30
80¢
$0
75¢
$1
70¢
$130
65¢
$13
60¢
$5
55¢
$0
50¢
$2
45¢
$69.9K
40¢
$7
35¢
$0
30¢
$1
25¢
$1
20¢
$335
15¢
$709
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYLos Angeles Dodgers$35.0K@ 47.9¢
IcemanSeason0xb939…da70
🐋—3 days ago
BUYLos Angeles Dodgers$25.3K@ 46.0¢
AV23IUa0xdb85…152f
🐋—4 days ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

IcemanSeasonLos Angeles Dodgers$35.0K
BUY VWAP 47.9¢·1 fill
AV23IUaLos Angeles Dodgers$25.3K
BUY VWAP 46.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.