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Cleveland Guardians vs. Minnesota Twins

Sports→Settlement: Cleveland GuardiansLiquidity: $453.5KOfficial 24h Vol: $561.4KEvent: Cleveland Guardians vs. Minnesota Twins
100.0¢
Cleveland Guardians payout
0.0¢
Minnesota Twins payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:114 trades$234.2K tracked4% 🐋source coverage 42%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 29 min agoofficial metadata 5 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Cleveland Guardians · $19.5K net·9 wallets(1🐋)·$30.6K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYCleveland Guardians$58.3K@ 53¢·0x17c4…2471

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Cleveland Guardians. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-09-19 00:10 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Cleveland Guardians" if the Cleveland Guardians win the game.

•This market will resolve to "Minnesota Twins" if the Minnesota Twins win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Cleveland Guardians and Minnesota Twins, scheduled for September 11 at 8:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Cleveland Guardians" if the Cleveland Guardians win the game. This market will resolve to "Minnesota Twins" if the Minnesota Twins win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0x9b11…53752 linked markets · $920 gross
5f5a2 linked markets · $144 gross
0x40e9…494f2 linked markets · $23 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ACCUMULATIONBUY Cleveland Guardians@ 53.0¢3h ago
15m INVALIDATED -4.0pp1h INVALIDATED -19.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Cleveland Guardians@ 53.0¢3h ago
15m INVALIDATED -4.0pp1h INVALIDATED -19.0pp
Latest book event: Cleveland Guardians DOWN 2.5pp · near-book depth $8.3K → $70 · 67s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Cleveland Guardians; negative values favor Minnesota Twins. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hCleveland Guardians · $2.6K
6hCleveland Guardians · $132.7K
24hCleveland Guardians · $127.9K

Cleveland Guardians price VWAP

Volume-weighted Cleveland Guardians price. Minnesota Twins fills are converted to the complementary Cleveland Guardians probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h54.3¢▲ above by 45.7pp
VWAP 7d54.3¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Cleveland Guardians price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$9.7K
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$2
70¢
$35
65¢
$75
60¢
$22.2K
55¢
$26.8K
50¢
$152.3K
45¢
$95
40¢
$10.9K
35¢
$2.4K
30¢
$12
25¢
$2.0K
20¢
$7.7K
15¢
$38
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYCleveland Guardians$13.0K@ 52.0¢
BruceWayne770xa2b5…4582
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYCleveland Guardians$55.1K@ 54.0¢0x17c4…2471🐋—about 3 hours ago
BUYCleveland Guardians$58.3K@ 53.0¢0x17c4…2471🐋—about 3 hours ago
BUYCleveland Guardians$26.7K@ 55.0¢0x17c4…2471🐋—about 3 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x17c4…2471Cleveland Guardians$140.1K
BUY VWAP 53.8¢·3 fills
BruceWayne77Cleveland Guardians$24.3K
BUY VWAP 52.0¢·3 fills
FeromontMinnesota Twins$14.4K
BUY VWAP 48.0¢·2 fills
sifonmanMinnesota Twins$12.2K
BUY VWAP 37.0¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.