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Houston Astros vs. Tampa Bay Rays

Sports→Settlement: Tampa Bay RaysLiquidity: $147.4KOfficial 24h Vol: $185.4KEvent: Houston Astros vs. Tampa Bay Rays
0.0¢
Houston Astros payout
100.0¢
Tampa Bay Rays payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Tampa Bay Rays · $18.0K net·8 wallets(1🐋)·$31.8K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYTampa Bay Rays$20.0K@ 62¢·0xf668…5c69

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Tampa Bay Rays. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-09-18 23:10 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Houston Astros" if the Houston Astros win the game.

•This market will resolve to "Tampa Bay Rays" if the Tampa Bay Rays win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Houston Astros and Tampa Bay Rays, scheduled for September 11 at 7:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Houston Astros" if the Houston Astros win the game. This market will resolve to "Tampa Bay Rays" if the Tampa Bay Rays win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Tampa Bay Rays@ 61.0¢3d ago
15m CONFIRMED +3.0pp1h STALLED +1.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Tampa Bay Rays@ 61.0¢3d ago
15m CONFIRMED +3.0pp1h STALLED +1.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Houston Astros; negative values favor Tampa Bay Rays. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hHouston Astros · $6.7K
6hTampa Bay Rays · $31.5K
24hTampa Bay Rays · $31.5K

Houston Astros price VWAP

Volume-weighted Houston Astros price. Tampa Bay Rays fills are converted to the complementary Houston Astros probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h35.0¢▼ below by 35.0pp
VWAP 7d35.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Houston Astros price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$108
55¢
$129
50¢
$2.7K
45¢
$6.3K
40¢
$3.6K
35¢
$53.8K
30¢
$1.2K
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
← now
$7.4K

VPOC = 35¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYTampa Bay Rays$18.6K@ 64.0¢
ferrariChampions20260xfe78…0319
🐋—3 days ago
BUYTampa Bay Rays$20.0K@ 62.0¢0xf668…5c69🐋—3 days ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

ferrariChampions2026Tampa Bay Rays$23.7K
BUY VWAP 63.8¢·2 fills
0xf668…5c69Tampa Bay Rays$20.0K
BUY VWAP 62.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.