Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation
No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.
1 verified profitable wallet: Carlos Alcaraz · $2.5K net over 7d.
Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.
Data confidence 56% · priority 0
Since latest large flow: +0.0pp at executable prices.
Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.
Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.
Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis
This market refers to the tennis match between Tommy Paul and Carlos Alcaraz in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for September 6, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tommy Paul' if Tommy Paul advances against Carlos Alcaraz. This market will resolve to 'Carlos Alcaraz' if Carlos Alcaraz advances against Tommy Paul. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible
Outcome Price History
Signals Trend
Market Analytics
Signed Order Flow
Tommy Paul price VWAP
Largest holders
Tommy Paul price Volume Profile · tracked 30d
VPOC = 15¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC
Observed net position building
Related Markets · same event first, then category