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US Open WTA: Madison Keys vs Qinwen Zheng

Sports→Settlement: Qinwen ZhengLiquidity: $203.2KOfficial 24h Vol: $950.1KEvent: US Open WTA: Madison Keys vs Qinwen Zheng
0.0¢
Madison Keys payout
100.0¢
Qinwen Zheng payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYMadison Keys$26.3K@ 60¢·justwins

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Qinwen Zheng. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-09-11 15:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Madison Keys and Qinwen Zheng in the US Open WTA, originally scheduled for September 4, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Madison Keys' if Madison Keys advances against Qinwen Zheng. This market will resolve to 'Qinwen Zheng' if Qinwen Zheng advances against Madison Keys. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

MARKET SWEEPSELL Qinwen Zheng@ 70.9¢18d ago
15m UNAVAILABLE1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
ANTI CHASEBUY Madison Keys18d ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Madison Keys@ 64.0¢18d ago
15m CONFIRMED +22.0pp1h CONFIRMED +11.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Madison Keys; negative values favor Qinwen Zheng. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hMadison Keys · $31.1K
6hMadison Keys · $106.0K
24hMadison Keys · $106.0K

Madison Keys price VWAP

Volume-weighted Madison Keys price. Qinwen Zheng fills are converted to the complementary Madison Keys probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h49.9¢▼ below by 49.9pp
VWAP 7d49.9¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Madison Keys price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$36.7K
90¢
$24.4K
85¢
$27.4K
80¢
$7.8K
75¢
$11.9K
70¢
$20.1K
65¢
$32
60¢
$68.5K
55¢
$30.9K
50¢
$12.7K
45¢
$3.7K
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$2.2K
20¢
$0
15¢
$34.0K
10¢
$25.8K
5¢
$32.5K
0¢
← now
$47.4K

VPOC = 60¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLQinwen Zheng$24.0K@ 99.9¢
hurrican0x8718…5040
🐋—18 days ago
BUYQinwen Zheng$20.0K@ 94.0¢
Paul9739730xa108…abd3
🐋—18 days ago
SELLQinwen Zheng$19.8K@ 84.1¢0x5f65…2036🐋—18 days ago
BUYMadison Keys$10.0K@ 94.2¢
madridcurious440xa31a…d023
🐋—18 days ago
BUYMadison Keys$13.0K@ 98.0¢
blket0xb5db…5800
🐋—18 days ago
BUYMadison Keys$26.3K@ 60.0¢
justwins0xa2cc…0cbc
🐋—18 days ago
BUYMadison Keys$12.0K@ 60.0¢
CORGI80x79ae…9a4a
🐋—18 days ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.