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Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs Hanwha Life Esports (+1.5)

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: about 4 hoursLiquidity: $30.1KOfficial 24h Vol: $102.1KEvent: LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - LCK Playoffs
15.0¢
Gen.G
87.0¢
Hanwha Life Esports
3.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection18Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets40Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution65Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 78%💡 2 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:12 trades$54.7K tracked8% 🐋source coverage 54%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 26 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Hanwha Life Esports · $5.5K net·2 wallets·$9.2K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYHanwha Life Esports$29.2K@ 61¢·TAIWANNUMBERONE

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

Hanwha Life Esports pressure: $9.6K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$9.6K
6h
−$49.9K
tracked
$54.7K

2 verified profitable wallets: Hanwha Life Esports · $5.5K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
3.0¢displayed spread

Workable spread; verify depth and the $10K slippage estimate below.

Data confidence 78% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: +30.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 26 minutes old.
  • •Less than 4h remains; resolution risk is elevated.
  • •Executable BUY price moved 30.0pp since the latest alert; its original entry no longer exists.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Hanwha Life Esports or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-05 14:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Gen.G" if Gen.G wins 2 or more games than Hanwha Life Esports in this match.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Hanwha Life Esports".

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL Upper bracket final match between Gen.G and Hanwha Life Esports in the LCK Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 5, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Gen.G" if Gen.G wins 2 or more games than Hanwha Life Esports in this match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Hanwha Life Esports". Games won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 19, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 5, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match ends due to the clinching game being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
2543217582 linked markets · $117.9K gross
fkcvffcjt2 linked markets · $57.1K gross
0xf201…527e3 linked markets · $46.7K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Hanwha Life Esports1h ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Hanwha Life Esports@ 63.0¢2h ago
15m INVALIDATED -14.0pp1h CONFIRMED +18.0pp
Latest book event: Hanwha Life Esports UP 4.5pp · near-book depth $11.0K → $14.2K · 83s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Gen.G; negative values favor Hanwha Life Esports. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hHanwha Life Esports · $9.6K
6hHanwha Life Esports · $49.9K
24hHanwha Life Esports · $45.8K

Gen.G price VWAP

Volume-weighted Gen.G price. Hanwha Life Esports fills are converted to the complementary Gen.G probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current15.0¢
VWAP 24h34.8¢▼ below by 19.8pp
VWAP 7d34.8¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Gen.G price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$365
45¢
$0
40¢
$4.1K
35¢
$40.6K
30¢
$1.2K
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
← now
$2.2K
10¢
$6.2K
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 35¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYHanwha Life Esports$29.2K@ 61.0¢
TAIWANNUMBERONE0xe015…6ffd
🐋—about 2 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winner
52.5¢$1.2Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - LCK Playoffs
45.5¢$787.5Kpriority47Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winner
71.5¢$447.9Kpriority51Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winner
0.1¢$1.4Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffs
60.1¢$1.0Mpriority62Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 3 Winner
46.5¢$998.2Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 4 Winner
21.5¢$813.7Kpriority41Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Crystal Palace win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
0.1¢$680.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

TAIWANNUMBERONEHanwha Life Esports$29.2K
BUY VWAP 61.0¢·1 fill
ValorieCatHanwha Life Esports$11.4K
BUY VWAP 61.7¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.