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LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 4 Winner

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: about 2 hoursLiquidity: $14.6KOfficial 24h Vol: $813.7KEvent: LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffs
21.0¢
Invictus Gaming
79.0¢
Top Esports
4.0¢
Spread
anomaly40Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection14Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets30Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution74Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority41Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 87%💡 15 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:279 trades$407.0K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 50%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 2 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Invictus Gaming · $23.3K net·15 wallets(1🐋)·$78.1K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYInvictus Gaming$20.7K@ 69¢·GoodGuy26

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WATCH — NO CONFIRMED SETUP
What the tape says

Invictus Gaming pressure: $58.7K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$58.7K
6h
+$58.7K
tracked
$407.0K

15 verified profitable wallets: Invictus Gaming · $23.3K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
4.0¢displayed spread

Expensive before size: wait for tighter quotes or reduce size.

Data confidence 87% · priority 41

Since latest market sweep: -54.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Spread is 4.0¢ before size-dependent slippage.
  • •Less than 2h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Invictus Gaming or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-05 12:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Invictus Gaming" if Invictus Gaming win Game 4 against Top Esports.

•This market will resolve to "Top Esports" if Top Esports win Game 4 against Invictus Gaming.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL Lower bracket round 1 match between Invictus Gaming and Top Esports in the LPL Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 5, 2026 at 2:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Invictus Gaming" if Invictus Gaming win Game 4 against Top Esports. This market will resolve to "Top Esports" if Top Esports win Game 4 against Invictus Gaming. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 4 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 4. If Game 4 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 19, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 5, 2026 at 2:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
Diabolical-Prize2 linked markets · $113.5K gross
0x9e3e…f8825 linked markets · $94.7K gross
0xf201…527e5 linked markets · $89.0K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Top Esports6m ago
Outcome checks pending
ANTI CHASEBUY Top Esports12m ago
Outcome checks pending
ANTI CHASEBUY Invictus Gaming21m ago
Outcome checks pending
MARKET SWEEPBUY Invictus Gaming@ 77.0¢24m ago
15m INVALIDATED -52.0pp
Latest book event: Top Esports UP 4.0pp · near-book depth $194 → $5.1K · 2s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Invictus Gaming; negative values favor Top Esports. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hInvictus Gaming · $58.7K
6hInvictus Gaming · $58.7K
24hInvictus Gaming · $58.7K

Invictus Gaming price VWAP

Volume-weighted Invictus Gaming price. Top Esports fills are converted to the complementary Invictus Gaming probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current21.0¢
VWAP 24h57.3¢▼ below by 36.3pp
VWAP 7d57.3¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Invictus Gaming price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$1.3K
90¢
$26.4K
85¢
$5.8K
80¢
$13.5K
75¢
$22.9K
70¢
$15.9K
65¢
$50.6K
60¢
$0
55¢
$19.6K
50¢
$34.4K
45¢
$181.0K
40¢
$16.3K
35¢
$0
30¢
$11.5K
25¢
$1.2K
20¢
← now
$2.3K
15¢
$0
10¢
$3.1K
5¢
$1.4K
0¢
$0

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYInvictus Gaming$13.8K@ 69.0¢
zb80x0224…292a
🐋—14 minutes ago
BUYInvictus Gaming$20.7K@ 69.0¢
GoodGuy260x7ebf…afe2
🐋—14 minutes ago
BUYTop Esports$15.5K@ 52.0¢
fkgggg2mouzfuria0x52ec…a6f3
🐋—35 minutes ago
BUYInvictus Gaming$13.2K@ 48.0¢
bloodmaster0x58f8…dc70
🐋—35 minutes ago
BUYTop Esports$16.0K@ 54.0¢0xf201…527e🐋—39 minutes ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winner
0.1¢$1.4Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
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60.1¢$1.0Mpriority62Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 3 Winner
46.5¢$998.2Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
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Will Crystal Palace win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
0.1¢$680.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-05?
84.5¢$517.9Kpriority51Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winner
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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

Diabolical-PrizeInvictus Gaming$66.5K
BUY VWAP 53.2¢·17 fills
0xf201…527eTop Esports$34.4K
BUY VWAP 54.0¢·6 fills
fkgggg2mouzfuriaTop Esports$22.8K
BUY VWAP 36.2¢·4 fills
bloodmasterInvictus Gaming$22.8K
BUY VWAP 58.2¢·2 fills
GoodGuy26Invictus Gaming$20.7K
BUY VWAP 69.0¢·1 fill
zb8Invictus Gaming$20.3K
BUY VWAP 65.8¢·2 fills
zb8Top Esports$14.5K
BUY VWAP 30.3¢·5 fills
BBQChickenisthebestttTop Esports$10.2K
BUY VWAP 45.1¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.