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LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffs

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: about 5 hoursLiquidity: $61.7KOfficial 24h Vol: $594.5KEvent: LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffs
66.5¢
Invictus Gaming
33.5¢
Top Esports
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection3Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets56Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution87Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority56Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 85%💡 6 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:237 trades$237.2K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 40%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 3 min agoofficial metadata 2 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Invictus Gaming · $5.1K net·6 wallets·$9.1K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYTop Esports$36.6K@ 57¢·0x1225…e7a0

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

REVIEW Invictus Gaming SETUP
What the tape says

Invictus Gaming pressure: $6.2K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$6.2K
6h
−$109.1K
tracked
$237.2K

6 verified profitable wallets: Invictus Gaming · $5.1K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 85% · priority 56

Since latest liquidity absorption: -24.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Less than 5h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Invictus Gaming or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-05 12:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Invictus Gaming" if Invictus Gaming win the match against Top Esports.

•This market will resolve to "Top Esports" if Top Esports win the match against Invictus Gaming.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL Lower bracket round 1 match between Invictus Gaming and Top Esports in the LPL Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 5, 2026 at 2:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Invictus Gaming" if Invictus Gaming win the match against Top Esports. This market will resolve to "Top Esports" if Top Esports win the match against Invictus Gaming. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 19, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 5, 2026 at 2:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0x9e3e…f8823 linked markets · $42.5K gross
asuka72 linked markets · $31.6K gross
0xf201…527e2 linked markets · $27.7K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LIQUIDITY ABSORPTIONBUY Top Esports@ 58.0¢57m ago
15m INVALIDATED -8.0pp
LIQUIDITY ABSORPTIONBUY Top Esports@ 56.0¢1h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h INVALIDATED -22.0pp
ACCUMULATIONBUY Top Esports@ 57.0¢2h ago
15m STALLED -2.0pp1h INVALIDATED -22.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Top Esports@ 57.0¢2h ago
15m STALLED -2.0pp1h INVALIDATED -22.0pp
Latest book event: Invictus Gaming UP 7.0pp · near-book depth $48 → $1.0K · 1s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Invictus Gaming; negative values favor Top Esports. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hInvictus Gaming · $6.2K
6hTop Esports · $109.1K
24hTop Esports · $120.1K

Invictus Gaming price VWAP

Volume-weighted Invictus Gaming price. Top Esports fills are converted to the complementary Invictus Gaming probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current66.5¢
VWAP 24h48.2¢▲ above by 18.3pp
VWAP 7d48.1¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Invictus Gaming price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
← now
$17.6K
60¢
$27.2K
55¢
$155
50¢
$1.7K
45¢
$96.6K
40¢
$91.6K
35¢
$3.7K
30¢
$2.6K
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYTop Esports$36.6K@ 57.0¢0x1225…e7a0🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYTop Esports$26.1K@ 56.0¢0x1225…e7a0🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYTop Esports$19.6K@ 54.0¢
omomom30x0a53…077b
🐋—about 6 hours ago
BUYTop Esports$13.1K@ 53.5¢0xe907…cff6🐋—about 8 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x1225…e7a0Top Esports$66.7K
BUY VWAP 56.6¢·3 fills
0x9e3e…f882Top Esports$24.7K
BUY VWAP 40.7¢·13 fills
omomom3Top Esports$19.6K
BUY VWAP 54.0¢·1 fill
0xe907…cff6Top Esports$13.1K
BUY VWAP 53.5¢·4 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.