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US Open ATP: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Francisco Cerundolo

Sports→Settlement: Francisco CerundoloLiquidity: $264.7KOfficial 24h Vol: $798.1KEvent: US Open ATP: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Francisco Cerundolo
0.0¢
Jan-Lennard Struff payout
100.0¢
Francisco Cerundolo payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Jan-Lennard Struff · $3.0K net·8 wallets·$38.0K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLJan-Lennard Struff$31.0K@ 58¢·Gourmet1

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Francisco Cerundolo. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-09-09 15:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Jan-Lennard Struff and Francisco Cerundolo in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for September 2, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jan-Lennard Struff' if Jan-Lennard Struff advances against Francisco Cerundolo. This market will resolve to 'Francisco Cerundolo' if Francisco Cerundolo advances against Jan-Lennard Struff. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Francisco Cerundolo@ 61.0¢7d ago
15m STALLED -2.0pp1h STALLED -2.0pp6h CONFIRMED +3.0pp24h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Jan-Lennard Struff@ 39.0¢7d ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp6h STALLED -1.0pp24h UNAVAILABLE

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Jan-Lennard Struff; negative values favor Francisco Cerundolo. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hJan-Lennard Struff · $8.1K
6hJan-Lennard Struff · $54.9K
24hJan-Lennard Struff · $34.7K

Jan-Lennard Struff price VWAP

Volume-weighted Jan-Lennard Struff price. Francisco Cerundolo fills are converted to the complementary Jan-Lennard Struff probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h37.4¢▼ below by 37.4pp
VWAP 7d37.4¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Jan-Lennard Struff price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$143
60¢
$22.2K
55¢
$49.4K
50¢
$28.0K
45¢
$34.1K
40¢
$40.3K
35¢
$71.6K
30¢
$40.2K
25¢
$3.3K
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
← now
$61.8K

VPOC = 35¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLFrancisco Cerundolo$22.3K@ 99.9¢
devilbanker0xef1b…8697
🐋—7 days ago
SELLFrancisco Cerundolo$20.2K@ 67.7¢0x5f65…2036🐋—7 days ago
SELLJan-Lennard Struff$31.0K@ 58.0¢
Gourmet10xc430…1ebf
🐋—7 days ago
BUYJan-Lennard Struff$17.7K@ 45.5¢0x760f…326a🐋—7 days ago
BUYFrancisco Cerundolo$12.8K@ 60.2¢
BrotherObama0x8a86…4998
🐋—7 days ago
BUYJan-Lennard Struff$30.1K@ 38.0¢
Gourmet10xc430…1ebf
🐋—7 days ago
BUYFrancisco Cerundolo$12.6K@ 62.0¢
AV23IUa0xdb85…152f
🐋—7 days ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x760f…326aJan-Lennard Struff$17.7K
BUY VWAP 45.5¢·1 fill
0x5f65…2036Francisco Cerundolo$15.6K
BUY VWAP 39.7¢·3 fills
RN1Jan-Lennard Struff$13.0K
BUY VWAP 54.0¢·6 fills
rabbitfoot1Francisco Cerundolo$11.0K
BUY VWAP 45.6¢·4 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.