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Milwaukee Brewers vs. Cincinnati Reds

Sports→Settlement: Cincinnati RedsLiquidity: $775.1KOfficial 24h Vol: $451.9KEvent: Milwaukee Brewers vs. Cincinnati Reds
0.0¢
Milwaukee Brewers payout
100.0¢
Cincinnati Reds payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Milwaukee Brewers · $646 net·13 wallets(2🐋)·$38.8K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYMilwaukee Brewers$46.2K@ 58¢·AV23IUa

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Cincinnati Reds. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-09-12 22:40 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Milwaukee Brewers" if the Milwaukee Brewers win the game.

•This market will resolve to "Cincinnati Reds" if the Cincinnati Reds win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Milwaukee Brewers and Cincinnati Reds, scheduled for September 5 at 6:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Milwaukee Brewers" if the Milwaukee Brewers win the game. This market will resolve to "Cincinnati Reds" if the Cincinnati Reds win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
HomeRunHazard2 linked markets · $25.1K gross
ferrariChampions20262 linked markets · $1.6K gross
0x9e3e…f8822 linked markets · $72 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

MARKET SWEEPBUY Cincinnati Reds@ 90.0¢4d ago
15m UNAVAILABLE1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Milwaukee Brewers@ 59.0¢5d ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h CONFIRMED +4.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Milwaukee Brewers; negative values favor Cincinnati Reds. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hCincinnati Reds · $9.0K
6hMilwaukee Brewers · $67.3K
24hMilwaukee Brewers · $68.6K

Milwaukee Brewers price VWAP

Volume-weighted Milwaukee Brewers price. Cincinnati Reds fills are converted to the complementary Milwaukee Brewers probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h53.2¢▼ below by 53.2pp
VWAP 7d53.2¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Milwaukee Brewers price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$7
65¢
$54.2K
60¢
$4.6K
55¢
$65.9K
50¢
$14.6K
45¢
$16
40¢
$21
35¢
$104
30¢
$24.7K
25¢
$5.9K
20¢
$0
15¢
$168
10¢
$1.2K
5¢
$133
0¢
← now
$6.1K

VPOC = 55¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYCincinnati Reds$12.3K@ 66.0¢0x2c33…0563🐋—4 days ago
BUYMilwaukee Brewers$11.7K@ 65.0¢
mirotvorets0x7d9d…3c52
🐋—5 days ago
BUYMilwaukee Brewers$46.2K@ 58.0¢
AV23IUa0xdb85…152f
🐋—5 days ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

AV23IUaMilwaukee Brewers$46.2K
BUY VWAP 58.0¢·1 fill
mirotvoretsMilwaukee Brewers$12.7K
BUY VWAP 65.0¢·2 fills
0x2c33…0563Cincinnati Reds$12.3K
BUY VWAP 66.0¢·1 fill
bigZagMilwaukee Brewers$10.7K
BUY VWAP 65.0¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.