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Counter-Strike: G2 vs Astralis - Map 2 Winner

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: about 4 hoursLiquidity: $32.9KOfficial 24h Vol: $225.1KEvent: Counter-Strike: G2 vs Astralis (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group A
78.4¢
G2
21.6¢
Astralis
1.2¢
Spread
anomaly40Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection43Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets85Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution81Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority65Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 84%💡 8 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:61 trades$82.6K trackedsource coverage 37%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 4 min agoofficial metadata 2 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:G2 · $17.1K net·8 wallets·$20.1K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYAstralis$8.9K@ 34¢·CORGI8

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

REVIEW G2 SETUP
What the tape says

G2 pressure: $35.6K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$35.6K
6h
+$35.6K
tracked
$82.6K

8 verified profitable wallets: G2 · $17.1K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.2¢displayed spread

Workable spread; verify depth and the $10K slippage estimate below.

Data confidence 84% · priority 65

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Less than 4h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from G2 or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-08 19:45 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://hltv.org
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "G2" if G2 win Map 2 against Astralis.

•This market will resolve to "Astralis" if Astralis win Map 2 against G2.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper bracket quarterfinal 3 match between G2 and Astralis in the FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group A, initially scheduled for September 8, 2026 at 6:30 AM ET. This market will resolve to "G2" if G2 win Map 2 against Astralis. This market will resolve to "Astralis" if Astralis win Map 2 against G2. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2. If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 22, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 8, 2026 at 6:30 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
Diabolical-Prize3 linked markets · $240.0K gross
0x29b5…cc6c3 linked markets · $64.4K gross
CORGI83 linked markets · $63.7K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Astralis DOWN 4.1pp · near-book depth $524 → $70 · 2s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor G2; negative values favor Astralis. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hG2 · $35.6K
6hG2 · $35.6K
24hG2 · $35.6K

G2 price VWAP

Volume-weighted G2 price. Astralis fills are converted to the complementary G2 probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current78.4¢
VWAP 24h75.8¢▲ above by 2.6pp
VWAP 7d75.8¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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G2 price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$14.2K
90¢
$2.4K
85¢
$4.3K
80¢
$9.4K
75¢
← now
$2.3K
70¢
$0
65¢
$50.0K
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 65¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

gt1aG2$10.0K
BUY VWAP 96.9¢·3 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.