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Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs M80 (+1.5)

Sports→Settlement: Aurora GamingLiquidity: $620.4KOfficial 24h Vol: $187.0KEvent: Counter-Strike: M80 vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group A
100.0¢
Aurora Gaming payout
0.0¢
M80 payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:51 trades$71.7K tracked4% 🐋source coverage 38%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 30 min agoofficial metadata 14 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Aurora Gaming · $35.4K net·5 wallets(1🐋)·$35.4K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYAurora Gaming$11.5K@ 46¢·0xd570…e4f8

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Aurora Gaming. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-08-30 18:20 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://hltv.org
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Aurora Gaming" if Aurora Gaming wins 2 or more maps than M80 in this match.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "M80".

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Lower bracket semifinal 1 match between M80 and Aurora Gaming in the BLAST Open Porto Group A, initially scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Aurora Gaming" if Aurora Gaming wins 2 or more maps than M80 in this match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "M80". Maps won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 13, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 30, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match ends due to the clinching map being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0xd570…e4f82 linked markets · $146.2K gross
0x29b5…cc6c3 linked markets · $59.2K gross
backback3 linked markets · $40.2K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: M80 DOWN 7.5pp · near-book depth $0 → $4 · 45s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Aurora Gaming; negative values favor M80. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hM80 · $6.2K
6hAurora Gaming · $25.1K
24hAurora Gaming · $41.0K

Aurora Gaming price VWAP

Volume-weighted Aurora Gaming price. M80 fills are converted to the complementary Aurora Gaming probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h50.7¢▲ above by 49.3pp
VWAP 7d50.7¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Aurora Gaming price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$6.4K
90¢
$151
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$9
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$10
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$65.2K
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYAurora Gaming$11.4K@ 46.0¢0x2c33…0563🐋—about 3 hours ago
BUYAurora Gaming$11.5K@ 46.0¢0xd570…e4f8🐋—about 5 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0xd570…e4f8Aurora Gaming$17.0K
BUY VWAP 46.0¢·2 fills
0x29b5…cc6cAurora Gaming$16.8K
BUY VWAP 45.5¢·10 fills
0x2c33…0563Aurora Gaming$11.4K
BUY VWAP 46.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.