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LoL: Movistar KOI vs Team Heretics - Game 1 Winner

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: about 4 hoursLiquidity: $356.4KOfficial 24h Vol: $303.8KEvent: LoL: Movistar KOI vs Team Heretics (BO3) - LEC Regular Season
99.9¢
Movistar KOI
0.9¢
Team Heretics
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection12Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets72Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 59%💡 8 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:127 trades$103.9K tracked1% 🐋source coverage 34%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 56 min agoofficial metadata 44s ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Movistar KOI · $17.5K net·8 wallets·$24.2K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYMovistar KOI$11.2K@ 100¢·0xf201…527e

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Team Heretics pressure: $12.8K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$12.8K
6h
+$33.6K
tracked
$103.9K

8 verified profitable wallets: Movistar KOI · $17.5K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 59% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Observed tape is 56 minutes old.
  • •Less than 4h remains; resolution risk is elevated.
  • •Rules, deadline or market status changed recently; re-read the current definition.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Team Heretics or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-30 19:45 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Movistar KOI" if Movistar KOI win Game 1 against Team Heretics.

•This market will resolve to "Team Heretics" if Team Heretics win Game 1 against Movistar KOI.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL match between Movistar KOI and Team Heretics in the LEC Regular Season, initially scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 10:15 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Movistar KOI" if Movistar KOI win Game 1 against Team Heretics. This market will resolve to "Team Heretics" if Team Heretics win Game 1 against Movistar KOI. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 13, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 30, 2026 at 10:15 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Recent definition/status changes
DEADLINE CHANGED · 1h ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0xf201…527e2 linked markets · $25.7K gross
thanhngu1232 linked markets · $16.0K gross
ColinHe2 linked markets · $14.3K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Movistar KOI; negative values favor Team Heretics. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hTeam Heretics · $12.8K
6hMovistar KOI · $33.6K
24hMovistar KOI · $33.6K

Movistar KOI price VWAP

Volume-weighted Movistar KOI price. Team Heretics fills are converted to the complementary Movistar KOI probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current99.9¢
VWAP 24h87.7¢▲ above by 12.2pp
VWAP 7d87.7¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Movistar KOI price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$48.1K
90¢
$12.0K
85¢
$3.8K
80¢
$1.3K
75¢
$11.2K
70¢
$19.6K
65¢
$2.4K
60¢
$5.3K
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYMovistar KOI$11.2K@ 99.9¢0xf201…527e🐋—about 1 hour ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0xf201…527eMovistar KOI$11.2K
BUY VWAP 99.9¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.