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US Open ATP: Kamil Majchrzak vs Hamad Medjedovic

Sports→Settlement: Kamil MajchrzakLiquidity: $194.7KOfficial 24h Vol: $387.7KEvent: US Open ATP: Kamil Majchrzak vs Hamad Medjedovic
100.0¢
Kamil Majchrzak payout
0.0¢
Hamad Medjedovic payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:55 trades$216.3K tracked13% 🐋source coverage 56%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 32 min agoofficial metadata 3 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Kamil Majchrzak · $176.5K net·6 wallets(1🐋)·$180.8K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYKamil Majchrzak$78.5K@ 78¢·beachboy4

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Kamil Majchrzak. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-09-06 15:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Kamil Majchrzak and Hamad Medjedovic in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kamil Majchrzak' if Kamil Majchrzak advances against Hamad Medjedovic. This market will resolve to 'Hamad Medjedovic' if Hamad Medjedovic advances against Kamil Majchrzak. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Kamil Majchrzak2h ago
Outcome checks pending
ANTI CHASEBUY Kamil Majchrzak2h ago
Outcome checks pending
ACCUMULATIONBUY Kamil Majchrzak@ 77.0¢2h ago
15m CONFIRMED +13.0pp1h CONFIRMED +22.3pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Kamil Majchrzak@ 77.0¢2h ago
15m CONFIRMED +13.0pp1h CONFIRMED +22.3pp
Latest book event: Kamil Majchrzak UP 5.0pp · near-book depth $5.6K → $58.1K · 10s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Kamil Majchrzak; negative values favor Hamad Medjedovic. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hHamad Medjedovic · $2.0K
6hKamil Majchrzak · $158.6K
24hKamil Majchrzak · $156.5K

Kamil Majchrzak price VWAP

Volume-weighted Kamil Majchrzak price. Hamad Medjedovic fills are converted to the complementary Kamil Majchrzak probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h73.5¢▲ above by 26.5pp
VWAP 7d73.5¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Kamil Majchrzak price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$7.6K
90¢
$28
85¢
$902
80¢
$0
75¢
$159.6K
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$20
55¢
$16.7K
50¢
$31.5K
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 75¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYKamil Majchrzak$18.1K@ 78.0¢
beachboy40xc2e7…be51
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYKamil Majchrzak$14.9K@ 78.0¢
beachboy40xc2e7…be51
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYKamil Majchrzak$15.9K@ 78.0¢
beachboy40xc2e7…be51
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYKamil Majchrzak$32.2K@ 77.5¢
beachboy40xc2e7…be51
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYKamil Majchrzak$78.5K@ 77.8¢
beachboy40xc2e7…be51
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYKamil Majchrzak$12.6K@ 59.0¢
beachboy40xc2e7…be51
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYHamad Medjedovic$25.0K@ 46.7¢
NiNo9990xcd65…ee96
🐋—about 2 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

beachboy4Kamil Majchrzak$172.2K
BUY VWAP 76.0¢·6 fills
NiNo999Hamad Medjedovic$25.0K
BUY VWAP 46.7¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.