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US Open ATP: Zizou Bergs vs Carlos Taberner

● quote 19 min ago
Sports→Closes: 4 daysLiquidity: $8.2KOfficial 24h Vol: $131.5KEvent: US Open ATP: Zizou Bergs vs Carlos Taberner
92.1¢
Zizou Bergs
7.9¢
Carlos Taberner
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets66Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution72Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 58%💡 5 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:40 trades$40.3K tracked3% 🐋source coverage 31%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 203 min agoofficial metadata 4 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Zizou Bergs · $6.8K net·5 wallets·$9.0K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYZizou Bergs$11.5K@ 83¢·ethanaz

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
+$4.1K
tracked
$40.3K

5 verified profitable wallets: Zizou Bergs · $6.8K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 58% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Executable quote is 19 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 203 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-06 15:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Zizou Bergs and Carlos Taberner in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Zizou Bergs' if Zizou Bergs advances against Carlos Taberner. This market will resolve to 'Carlos Taberner' if Carlos Taberner advances against Zizou Bergs. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Carlos Taberner DOWN 4.4pp · near-book depth $8.7K → $2.9K · 51s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.climax

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Zizou Bergs; negative values favor Carlos Taberner. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hZizou Bergs · $0
6hZizou Bergs · $4.1K
24hZizou Bergs · $29.6K

Zizou Bergs price VWAP

Volume-weighted Zizou Bergs price. Carlos Taberner fills are converted to the complementary Zizou Bergs probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current92.1¢
VWAP 24h86.8¢▲ above by 5.3pp
VWAP 7d87.3¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Zizou Bergs price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
← now
$14.7K
85¢
$9.6K
80¢
$18.2K
75¢
$1.3K
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 80¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYZizou Bergs$11.5K@ 82.5¢
ethanaz0xf28e…cab2
🐋—about 7 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

ethanazZizou Bergs$11.5K
BUY VWAP 82.5¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.