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Seattle Mariners vs. Boston Red Sox

Sports→Settlement: Seattle MarinersLiquidity: $208.8KOfficial 24h Vol: $546.1KEvent: Seattle Mariners vs. Boston Red Sox
100.0¢
Seattle Mariners payout
0.0¢
Boston Red Sox payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Boston Red Sox · $2.9K net·4 wallets·$6.5K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLSeattle Mariners$37.8K@ 100¢·0x3dfb…abaf

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Seattle Mariners. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-09-09 20:10 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Seattle Mariners" if the Seattle Mariners win the game.

•This market will resolve to "Boston Red Sox" if the Boston Red Sox win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Seattle Mariners and Boston Red Sox, scheduled for September 2 at 4:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Seattle Mariners" if the Seattle Mariners win the game. This market will resolve to "Boston Red Sox" if the Boston Red Sox win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0x3dfb…abaf2 linked markets · $39.8K gross
ferrariChampions20262 linked markets · $11.5K gross
quavoo2 linked markets · $8.8K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ACCUMULATIONBUY Boston Red Sox@ 36.0¢3d ago
15m INVALIDATED -18.0pp1h INVALIDATED -21.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Boston Red Sox@ 54.0¢3d ago
15m INVALIDATED -34.0pp1h INVALIDATED -34.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Seattle Mariners; negative values favor Boston Red Sox. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hBoston Red Sox · $37.3K
6hBoston Red Sox · $148.7K
24hBoston Red Sox · $159.5K

Seattle Mariners price VWAP

Volume-weighted Seattle Mariners price. Boston Red Sox fills are converted to the complementary Seattle Mariners probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h65.0¢▲ above by 35.1pp
VWAP 7d65.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Seattle Mariners price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$55.7K
90¢
$0
85¢
$34
80¢
$2.4K
75¢
$23.3K
70¢
$10
65¢
$43.0K
60¢
$35
55¢
$263
50¢
$38.4K
45¢
$0
40¢
$76.1K
35¢
$3.9K
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 40¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLSeattle Mariners$37.8K@ 99.9¢0x3dfb…abaf🐋—2 days ago
BUYSeattle Mariners$21.0K@ 76.9¢
unbeatable10xac02…8570
🐋—3 days ago
BUYBoston Red Sox$19.1K@ 35.0¢
Supremeleader750x5dab…22e1
🐋—3 days ago
BUYBoston Red Sox$19.0K@ 35.0¢
Supremeleader750x5dab…22e1
🐋—3 days ago
BUYBoston Red Sox$14.9K@ 46.0¢
Supremeleader750x5dab…22e1
🐋—3 days ago
BUYBoston Red Sox$18.8K@ 46.0¢
Supremeleader750x5dab…22e1
🐋—3 days ago
BUYBoston Red Sox$26.3K@ 57.5¢
Supremeleader750x5dab…22e1
🐋—3 days ago
BUYBoston Red Sox$32.1K@ 58.0¢
Supremeleader750x5dab…22e1
🐋—3 days ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

Supremeleader75Boston Red Sox$139.7K
BUY VWAP 45.5¢·8 fills
unbeatable1Seattle Mariners$21.0K
BUY VWAP 76.9¢·1 fill
0x6051…3fcdSeattle Mariners$14.0K
BUY VWAP 98.0¢·3 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.