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Chicago White Sox vs. Houston Astros

● quote 1 min ago
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $526Official 24h Vol: $198.4KEvent: Chicago White Sox vs. Houston Astros
49.0¢
Chicago White Sox
51.0¢
Houston Astros
4.0¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets25Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution44Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 61%💡 4 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:51 trades$86.7K tracked6% 🐋source coverage 44%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 200 min agoofficial metadata 4 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Chicago White Sox · $1.5K net·4 wallets·$5.9K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYChicago White Sox$21.7K@ 51¢·0x3dfb…abaf

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
+$49.0K
tracked
$86.7K

4 verified profitable wallets: Chicago White Sox · $1.5K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
4.0¢displayed spread

Expensive before size: wait for tighter quotes or reduce size.

Data confidence 61% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: -3.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 200 minutes old.
  • •Spread is 4.0¢ before size-dependent slippage.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-09 00:10 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Chicago White Sox" if the Chicago White Sox win the game.

•This market will resolve to "Houston Astros" if the Houston Astros win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Chicago White Sox and Houston Astros, scheduled for September 1 at 8:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Chicago White Sox" if the Chicago White Sox win the game. This market will resolve to "Houston Astros" if the Houston Astros win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Chicago White Sox@ 54.0¢5h ago
15m INVALIDATED -18.0pp1h INVALIDATED -5.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Chicago White Sox@ 51.0¢5h ago
15m STALLED -2.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp
Latest book event: Houston Astros UP 7.0pp · near-book depth $404 → $3 · 95s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Chicago White Sox; negative values favor Houston Astros. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hChicago White Sox · $0
6hChicago White Sox · $49.0K
24hChicago White Sox · $45.7K

Chicago White Sox price VWAP

Volume-weighted Chicago White Sox price. Houston Astros fills are converted to the complementary Chicago White Sox probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current49.0¢
VWAP 24h50.5¢▼ below by 1.5pp
VWAP 7d50.5¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Chicago White Sox price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$81.4K
45¢
← now
$1.6K
40¢
$159
35¢
$3.5K
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYChicago White Sox$21.7K@ 51.0¢0x3dfb…abaf🐋—about 5 hours ago
BUYChicago White Sox$20.0K@ 51.0¢
IcemanSeason0xb939…da70
🐋—about 5 hours ago
BUYHouston Astros$10.0K@ 49.0¢
marketmesh0xb7ab…a2d1
🐋—about 15 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x3dfb…abafChicago White Sox$27.6K
BUY VWAP 51.6¢·2 fills
IcemanSeasonChicago White Sox$20.0K
BUY VWAP 51.0¢·1 fill
marketmeshHouston Astros$10.0K
BUY VWAP 49.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.