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Athletics vs. Texas Rangers

● quote 45s ago
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $1.3KOfficial 24h Vol: $147.5KEvent: Athletics vs. Texas Rangers
19.5¢
Athletics
80.5¢
Texas Rangers
3.0¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets4Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution52Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 62%💡 5 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:56 trades$69.0K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 47%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 202 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Texas Rangers · $439 net·5 wallets·$10.1K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYTexas Rangers$50.0K@ 68¢·Kosherlocks

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
+$2.3K
tracked
$69.0K

5 verified profitable wallets: Texas Rangers · $439 net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
3.0¢displayed spread

Workable spread; verify depth and the $10K slippage estimate below.

Data confidence 62% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 202 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-09 00:05 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Athletics" if the Athletics win the game.

•This market will resolve to "Texas Rangers" if the Texas Rangers win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Athletics and Texas Rangers, scheduled for September 1 at 8:05PM ET: This market will resolve to "Athletics" if the Athletics win the game. This market will resolve to "Texas Rangers" if the Texas Rangers win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0x3dfb…abaf2 linked markets · $21.0K gross
ferrariChampions20262 linked markets · $9.5K gross
pups102 linked markets · $582 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Texas Rangers@ 68.0¢8h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp6h CONFIRMED +13.0pp
Latest book event: Athletics DOWN 14.5pp · near-book depth $11 → $1.8K · 21s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Athletics; negative values favor Texas Rangers. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hAthletics · $0
6hAthletics · $2.3K
24hTexas Rangers · $49.9K

Athletics price VWAP

Volume-weighted Athletics price. Texas Rangers fills are converted to the complementary Athletics probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current19.5¢
VWAP 24h30.9¢▼ below by 11.4pp
VWAP 7d30.9¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Athletics price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$5
35¢
$1.1K
30¢
$60.3K
25¢
$6
20¢
$7.2K
15¢
← now
$380
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 30¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYTexas Rangers$50.0K@ 68.0¢
Kosherlocks0x8239…d9a3
🐋—about 8 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

KosherlocksTexas Rangers$50.0K
BUY VWAP 68.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.