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UNLV vs. Hawai'i

Sports→Settlement: UNLVLiquidity: $110.4KOfficial 24h Vol: $604.2KEvent: UNLV vs. Hawai'i
100.0¢
UNLV payout
0.0¢
Hawaii payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:208 trades$249.1K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 41%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 483 min agoofficial metadata 462 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Hawaii · $7.9K net·10 wallets·$50.2K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYHawaii$73.8K@ 43¢·wr0ngw4yb3tt0r

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome UNLV. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-09-06 02:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.ncaa.com/
Outcome meaning

•If UNLV wins, the market will resolve to "UNLV".

•If Hawai'i wins, the market will resolve to "Hawai'i".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for September 5 at 10:00PM ET: If UNLV wins, the market will resolve to "UNLV". If Hawai'i wins, the market will resolve to "Hawai'i". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely or ends in a tie, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

POSITION CHANGEBUY UNLV@ 56.0¢13h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h INVALIDATED -3.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Hawaii@ 44.0¢14h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY UNLV@ 57.0¢14h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: UNLV UP 6.5pp · near-book depth $238 → $550 · 20s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor UNLV; negative values favor Hawaii. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hHawaii · $11.9K
6hHawaii · $75.9K
24hHawaii · $132.6K

UNLV price VWAP

Volume-weighted UNLV price. Hawaii fills are converted to the complementary UNLV probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h62.6¢▲ above by 37.4pp
VWAP 7d62.6¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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UNLV price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$21.9K
90¢
$965
85¢
$17.3K
80¢
$1.7K
75¢
$925
70¢
$235
65¢
$465
60¢
$387
55¢
$195.0K
50¢
$5.4K
45¢
$4.8K
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 55¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLUNLV$14.3K@ 99.9¢
VigorishVault0x92b6…f855
🐋—about 8 hours ago
BUYHawaii$25.0K@ 45.0¢0x3dfb…abaf🐋—about 12 hours ago
BUYHawaii$73.8K@ 43.0¢
wr0ngw4yb3tt0r0x224a…a3d5
🐋—about 14 hours ago
BUYUNLV$17.5K@ 57.0¢
Sassy-Bucket0x4bff…fc26
🐋—about 14 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

wr0ngw4yb3tt0rHawaii$73.8K
BUY VWAP 43.0¢·1 fill
quavooHawaii$29.5K
BUY VWAP 43.7¢·25 fills
0x3dfb…abafHawaii$29.1K
BUY VWAP 45.2¢·2 fills
HomeRunHazardHawaii$20.8K
BUY VWAP 44.0¢·5 fills
Sassy-BucketUNLV$17.5K
BUY VWAP 57.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.