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Boise State vs. Oregon

Sports→Settlement: OregonLiquidity: $213.6KOfficial 24h Vol: $380.0KEvent: Boise State vs. Oregon
0.0¢
Boise State payout
100.0¢
Oregon payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYOregon$18.3K@ 90¢·0b1fe

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Oregon. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-09-05 19:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.ncaa.com/
Outcome meaning

•If Boise State wins, the market will resolve to "Boise State".

•If Oregon wins, the market will resolve to "Oregon".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for September 5 at 3:30PM ET: If Boise State wins, the market will resolve to "Boise State". If Oregon wins, the market will resolve to "Oregon". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely or ends in a tie, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Boise State; negative values favor Oregon. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hOregon · $997
6hOregon · $35.1K
24hOregon · $51.5K

Boise State price VWAP

Volume-weighted Boise State price. Oregon fills are converted to the complementary Boise State probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h8.5¢▼ below by 8.5pp
VWAP 7d8.5¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Boise State price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$2.1K
25¢
$2.7K
20¢
$0
15¢
$5.3K
10¢
$19.9K
5¢
$30.8K
0¢
← now
$27.3K

VPOC = 5¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYOregon$18.3K@ 89.6¢
0b1fe0x9bb1…4dbe
🐋—18 days ago
BUYOregon$10.8K@ 96.0¢
maz260x6754…e3bc
🐋—18 days ago
BUYOregon$11.4K@ 95.0¢
mrworldwide0x98d0…f14a
🐋—19 days ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.