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Tulane vs. Duke

Sports→Settlement: DukeLiquidity: $220.4KOfficial 24h Vol: $440.2KEvent: Tulane vs. Duke
0.0¢
Tulane payout
100.0¢
Duke payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:75 trades$243.8K tracked8% 🐋source coverage 55%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 810 min agoofficial metadata 783 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Duke · $7.8K net·3 wallets·$8.2K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYDuke$36.6K@ 74¢·wr0ngw4yb3tt0r

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Duke. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-09-05 19:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.ncaa.com/
Outcome meaning

•If Tulane wins, the market will resolve to "Tulane".

•If Duke wins, the market will resolve to "Duke".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for September 5 at 3:30PM ET: If Tulane wins, the market will resolve to "Tulane". If Duke wins, the market will resolve to "Duke". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely or ends in a tie, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

POSITION CHANGEBUY Tulane@ 26.0¢18h ago
15m STALLED -2.0pp1h STALLED -2.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Duke@ 75.0¢18h ago
15m STALLED +0.0pp1h STALLED +0.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE
ACCUMULATIONBUY Duke@ 76.0¢19h ago
15m STALLED -2.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Duke@ 76.0¢19h ago
15m STALLED -2.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: Duke UP 4.0pp · near-book depth $5.0K → $18.2K · 7s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Tulane; negative values favor Duke. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hTulane · $63
6hDuke · $121.1K
24hDuke · $183.5K

Tulane price VWAP

Volume-weighted Tulane price. Duke fills are converted to the complementary Tulane probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h23.8¢▼ below by 23.8pp
VWAP 7d23.8¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Tulane price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$212.2K
20¢
$5
15¢
$225
10¢
$6.0K
5¢
$25.2K
0¢
← now
$113

VPOC = 25¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYDuke$36.6K@ 74.0¢
wr0ngw4yb3tt0r0x224a…a3d5
🐋—about 18 hours ago
BUYTulane$14.5K@ 26.0¢
Sassy-Bucket0x4bff…fc26
🐋—about 18 hours ago
BUYDuke$29.8K@ 74.0¢
wr0ngw4yb3tt0r0x224a…a3d5
🐋—about 19 hours ago
BUYDuke$14.6K@ 74.0¢
wr0ngw4yb3tt0r0x224a…a3d5
🐋—about 19 hours ago
BUYDuke$14.6K@ 74.0¢
wr0ngw4yb3tt0r0x224a…a3d5
🐋—about 19 hours ago
BUYTulane$12.3K@ 26.0¢
Sassy-Bucket0x4bff…fc26
🐋—about 19 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

wr0ngw4yb3tt0rDuke$110.7K
BUY VWAP 74.0¢·8 fills
quavooDuke$71.2K
BUY VWAP 74.1¢·18 fills
Sassy-BucketTulane$29.7K
BUY VWAP 25.9¢·3 fills
CanadianGooseDuke$20.9K
BUY VWAP 91.0¢·5 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.