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UFC Fight Night: Liu Ce vs. Levi Rodrigues Jr. (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)

Sports→Settlement: Liu CeLiquidity: $392.5KOfficial 24h Vol: $448.9KEvent: UFC Fight Night: Liu Ce vs. Levi Rodrigues Jr. (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)
100.0¢
Liu Ce payout
0.0¢
Levi Rodrigues Jr. payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYLevi Rodrigues Jr.$28.0K@ 39¢·ferrariChampions2026

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Liu Ce. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-08-30 03:59 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Liu Ce" if Liu Ce is officially declared the winner of the fight against Levi Rodrigues Jr. at UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song, scheduled for August 29, 2026.

•It will resolve to "Levi Rodrigues Jr." if Levi Rodrigues Jr. is officially declared the winner.

Read full resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Liu Ce" if Liu Ce is officially declared the winner of the fight against Levi Rodrigues Jr. at UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song, scheduled for August 29, 2026. It will resolve to "Levi Rodrigues Jr." if Levi Rodrigues Jr. is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 12, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Levi Rodrigues Jr.@ 40.0¢19d ago
15m STALLED -2.0pp1h STALLED -2.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Liu Ce@ 62.0¢19d ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -2.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
ACCUMULATIONBUY Liu Ce@ 63.0¢19d ago
15m STALLED -2.0pp1h INVALIDATED -3.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Liu Ce@ 62.0¢19d ago
15m STALLED +0.0pp1h STALLED +0.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Liu Ce; negative values favor Levi Rodrigues Jr.. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hLevi Rodrigues Jr. · $26.5K
6hLiu Ce · $5.0K
24hLiu Ce · $1.6K

Liu Ce price VWAP

Volume-weighted Liu Ce price. Levi Rodrigues Jr. fills are converted to the complementary Liu Ce probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h67.3¢▲ above by 32.7pp
VWAP 7d67.3¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Liu Ce price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$29.5K
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$152.1K
55¢
$1
50¢
$0
45¢
$1.5K
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 60¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYLiu Ce$11.4K@ 61.0¢
pravica0x5c72…7e7e
🐋—19 days ago
BUYLevi Rodrigues Jr.$28.0K@ 39.0¢
ferrariChampions20260xfe78…0319
🐋—19 days ago
BUYLiu Ce$10.5K@ 62.0¢
jtwyslljy0x9cb9…32f2
🐋—19 days ago
BUYLevi Rodrigues Jr.$11.3K@ 39.0¢
timezonewarrior0x8f8c…e275
🐋—19 days ago
BUYLiu Ce$10.5K@ 62.0¢
jtwyslljy0x9cb9…32f2
🐋—19 days ago
BUYLiu Ce$11.0K@ 61.0¢
jtwyslljy0x9cb9…32f2
🐋—19 days ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.