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Game Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Shifters (+1.5)

Sports→Settlement: Team VitalityLiquidity: $176.7KOfficial 24h Vol: $92.4KEvent: LoL: Shifters vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Regular Season
100.0¢
Team Vitality payout
0.0¢
Shifters payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:21 trades$39.5K tracked5% 🐋source coverage 43%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 57 min agoofficial metadata 17 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Team Vitality · $14.3K net·5 wallets(1🐋)·$25.1K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYTeam Vitality$18.0K@ 53¢·BrotherObama

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Team Vitality. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-08-30 18:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Team Vitality" if Team Vitality wins 2 or more games than Shifters in this match.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Shifters".

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL match between Shifters and Team Vitality in the LEC Regular Season, initially scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Vitality" if Team Vitality wins 2 or more games than Shifters in this match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Shifters". Games won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 13, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 30, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match ends due to the clinching game being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
StasPanda2 linked markets · $50.5K gross
Sisyphus.2 linked markets · $47.0K gross
5e46h2 linked markets · $24.4K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Team Vitality3h ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Team Vitality@ 48.0¢3h ago
15m CONFIRMED +9.0pp1h CONFIRMED +13.0pp
Latest book event: Team Vitality UP 54.0pp · near-book depth $0 → $10 · 19s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Team Vitality; negative values favor Shifters. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hShifters · $9.1K
6hTeam Vitality · $819
24hTeam Vitality · $819

Team Vitality price VWAP

Volume-weighted Team Vitality price. Shifters fills are converted to the complementary Team Vitality probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h69.5¢▲ above by 30.6pp
VWAP 7d66.5¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Team Vitality price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$13.9K
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$144
70¢
$22
65¢
$0
60¢
$14.3K
55¢
$3.3K
50¢
$25.3K
45¢
$50
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYTeam Vitality$18.0K@ 53.0¢
BrotherObama0x8a86…4998
🐋—about 3 hours ago
BUYTeam Vitality$12.2K@ 61.0¢
StasPanda0x7e5e…7315
🐋—1 day ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

BrotherObamaTeam Vitality$18.0K
BUY VWAP 53.0¢·1 fill
StasPandaTeam Vitality$14.3K
BUY VWAP 61.1¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.