PolyScope
ScreenerCategoriesEventsLarge TradesWallets🐋 Top Whales⚡ Early MoversSignalsSmart MoneyPortfolioWatchlist🔔 Alerts

LoL: Shifters vs Team Vitality - Game 1 Winner

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: about 2 hoursLiquidity: $602.0KOfficial 24h Vol: $241.2KEvent: LoL: Shifters vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Regular Season
0.1¢
Shifters
100.0¢
Team Vitality
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets71Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 63%💡 11 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:83 trades$122.7K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 51%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 72 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Team Vitality · $20.5K net·11 wallets·$28.7K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYTeam Vitality$39.9K@ 100¢·Emethod

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
−$77.7K
tracked
$122.7K

11 verified profitable wallets: Team Vitality · $20.5K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 63% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Observed tape is 72 minutes old.
  • •Less than 2h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-30 16:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Shifters" if Shifters win Game 1 against Team Vitality.

•This market will resolve to "Team Vitality" if Team Vitality win Game 1 against Shifters.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL match between Shifters and Team Vitality in the LEC Regular Season, initially scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Shifters" if Shifters win Game 1 against Team Vitality. This market will resolve to "Team Vitality" if Team Vitality win Game 1 against Shifters. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 13, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 30, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
StasPanda2 linked markets · $50.5K gross
Sisyphus.2 linked markets · $47.0K gross
5e46h2 linked markets · $24.4K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Shifters UP 5.0pp · near-book depth $19 → $19 · 1s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Shifters; negative values favor Team Vitality. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hShifters · $0
6hTeam Vitality · $77.7K
24hTeam Vitality · $77.7K

Shifters price VWAP

Volume-weighted Shifters price. Team Vitality fills are converted to the complementary Shifters probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.1¢
VWAP 24h9.2¢▼ below by 9.2pp
VWAP 7d9.2¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

Shifters price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$36.3K
20¢
$4.2K
15¢
$1.0K
10¢
$1.3K
5¢
$1.4K
0¢
← now
$78.5K

VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLTeam Vitality$10.4K@ 99.9¢
Jer-Predict0xd391…b109
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYTeam Vitality$39.9K@ 99.9¢
Emethod0xda6a…5b40
🐋—about 2 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

LoL: Shifters vs Team Vitality - Game 2 Winner
0.1¢$323.9Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Shifters vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Regular Season
0.1¢$199.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Game Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Shifters (+1.5)
52.5¢$86.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group A
0.1¢$651.9Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-08-30?
89.5¢$448.8Kpriority64Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
0.1¢$403.4Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals?
4.5¢$344.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Málaga CF win on 2026-08-30?
3.0¢$322.0Kpriority79Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

EmethodTeam Vitality$39.9K
BUY VWAP 99.9¢·1 fill
Sunshine.SmileTeam Vitality$11.0K
BUY VWAP 72.5¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.