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Philadelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles Angels

● quote 30s ago
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $317.8KOfficial 24h Vol: $451.3KEvent: Philadelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles Angels
99.9¢
Philadelphia Phillies
0.1¢
Los Angeles Angels
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection1Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets70Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 76%💡 8 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:125 trades$204.9K tracked5% 🐋source coverage 45%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 12 min agoofficial metadata 3 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Philadelphia Phillies · $26.4K net·8 wallets·$37.8K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYLos Angeles Angels$24.3K@ 52¢·0x3dfb…abaf

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Philadelphia Phillies pressure: $1.9K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$1.9K
6h
+$2.8K
tracked
$204.9K

8 verified profitable wallets: Philadelphia Phillies · $26.4K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 76% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: -44.9pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Observed tape is 12 minutes old.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Philadelphia Phillies or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-06 20:07 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Philadelphia Phillies" if the Philadelphia Phillies win the game.

•This market will resolve to "Los Angeles Angels" if the Los Angeles Angels win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Philadelphia Phillies and Los Angeles Angels, scheduled for August 30 at 4:07PM ET: This market will resolve to "Philadelphia Phillies" if the Philadelphia Phillies win the game. This market will resolve to "Los Angeles Angels" if the Los Angeles Angels win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0x3dfb…abaf2 linked markets · $60.8K gross
HomeRunHazard2 linked markets · $30.7K gross
ferrariChampions20262 linked markets · $14.3K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Los Angeles Angels@ 45.0¢2h ago
15m STALLED -2.0pp1h INVALIDATED -31.0pp
ACCUMULATIONBUY Los Angeles Angels@ 44.0¢2h ago
15m STALLED +1.0pp1h INVALIDATED -21.0pp
MARKET SWEEPBUY Philadelphia Phillies@ 59.0¢2h ago
15m STALLED +2.0pp1h CONFIRMED +18.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Los Angeles Angels@ 54.0¢3h ago
15m INVALIDATED -14.0pp1h INVALIDATED -15.0pp
Latest book event: Los Angeles Angels DOWN 4.3pp · near-book depth $3.0K → $990 · 87s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Philadelphia Phillies; negative values favor Los Angeles Angels. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hPhiladelphia Phillies · $1.9K
6hPhiladelphia Phillies · $2.8K
24hPhiladelphia Phillies · $3.2K

Philadelphia Phillies price VWAP

Volume-weighted Philadelphia Phillies price. Los Angeles Angels fills are converted to the complementary Philadelphia Phillies probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current99.9¢
VWAP 24h62.2¢▲ above by 37.7pp
VWAP 7d62.2¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Philadelphia Phillies price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$17.3K
90¢
$4.1K
85¢
$216
80¢
$54
75¢
$22.1K
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$72.4K
55¢
$12.3K
50¢
$33.4K
45¢
$43.0K
40¢
$19
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 60¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYLos Angeles Angels$13.3K@ 40.0¢0x3dfb…abaf🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYPhiladelphia Phillies$10.0K@ 53.9¢
coltsmildx0xeafc…e4c4
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYLos Angeles Angels$14.5K@ 47.0¢0x3dfb…abaf🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYLos Angeles Angels$24.3K@ 52.0¢0x3dfb…abaf🐋—about 3 hours ago
BUYLos Angeles Angels$20.0K@ 39.0¢
IAmHomelessNow0xd3fa…a26c
🐋—about 4 hours ago
BUYPhiladelphia Phillies$20.0K@ 62.0¢0xf668…5c69🐋—about 6 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x3dfb…abafLos Angeles Angels$57.8K
BUY VWAP 47.3¢·6 fills
HomeRunHazardPhiladelphia Phillies$24.8K
BUY VWAP 65.3¢·4 fills
IAmHomelessNowLos Angeles Angels$20.0K
BUY VWAP 39.0¢·1 fill
0xf668…5c69Philadelphia Phillies$20.0K
BUY VWAP 62.0¢·1 fill
coltsmildxPhiladelphia Phillies$10.0K
BUY VWAP 53.9¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.