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San Diego Padres vs. Tampa Bay Rays

Sports→Settlement: Tampa Bay RaysLiquidity: $149.5KOfficial 24h Vol: $624.6KEvent: San Diego Padres vs. Tampa Bay Rays
0.0¢
San Diego Padres payout
100.0¢
Tampa Bay Rays payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:112 trades$231.6K tracked3% 🐋source coverage 37%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 42 min agoofficial metadata 17 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:San Diego Padres · $117.1K net·14 wallets(1🐋)·$150.1K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYSan Diego Padres$51.2K@ 50¢·0x2c33…0563

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Tampa Bay Rays. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-09-06 17:40 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "San Diego Padres" if the San Diego Padres win the game.

•This market will resolve to "Tampa Bay Rays" if the Tampa Bay Rays win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the San Diego Padres and Tampa Bay Rays, scheduled for August 30 at 1:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "San Diego Padres" if the San Diego Padres win the game. This market will resolve to "Tampa Bay Rays" if the Tampa Bay Rays win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

WHALE FOLLOW THROUGHBUY San Diego Padres@ 100.0¢24m ago
Outcome checks pending
ANTI CHASEBUY San Diego Padres50m ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY San Diego Padres@ 58.9¢55m ago
15m UNAVAILABLE
ANTI CHASEBUY San Diego Padres2h ago
Outcome checks pending
Latest book event: San Diego Padres DOWN 7.1pp · near-book depth $1.0K → $181 · 2s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor San Diego Padres; negative values favor Tampa Bay Rays. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hSan Diego Padres · $111.3K
6hSan Diego Padres · $171.3K
24hSan Diego Padres · $173.5K

San Diego Padres price VWAP

Volume-weighted San Diego Padres price. Tampa Bay Rays fills are converted to the complementary San Diego Padres probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h49.5¢▼ below by 49.5pp
VWAP 7d49.5¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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San Diego Padres price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$55
85¢
$5
80¢
$17
75¢
$1.0K
70¢
$1.2K
65¢
$21.8K
60¢
$7.0K
55¢
$21.5K
50¢
$94.2K
45¢
$11.7K
40¢
$61.7K
35¢
$1.2K
30¢
$4.7K
25¢
$7
20¢
$656
15¢
$4.9K
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
← now
$133

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYSan Diego Padres$51.2K@ 50.2¢0x2c33…0563🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYSan Diego Padres$41.3K@ 50.2¢0x2c33…0563🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYSan Diego Padres$48.3K@ 41.0¢0x5e94…5ba1🐋—about 4 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x2c33…0563San Diego Padres$92.5K
BUY VWAP 50.2¢·2 fills
0x5e94…5ba1San Diego Padres$48.3K
BUY VWAP 41.0¢·1 fill
HomeRunHazardSan Diego Padres$25.3K
BUY VWAP 55.8¢·7 fills
VibeDoterSan Diego Padres$11.4K
BUY VWAP 59.1¢·3 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.