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Winston-Salem Open: Raphael Collignon vs Rinky Hijikata

Sports→Settlement: Rinky HijikataLiquidity: $896.5KOfficial 24h Vol: $768.6KEvent: Winston-Salem Open: Raphael Collignon vs Rinky Hijikata
0.0¢
Raphael Collignon payout
100.0¢
Rinky Hijikata payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:167 trades$349.5K tracked6% 🐋source coverage 45%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 451 min agoofficial metadata 419 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Rinky Hijikata · $22.6K net·7 wallets(2🐋)·$52.2K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLRinky Hijikata$42.0K@ 100¢·Donghui

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Rinky Hijikata. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-09-01 14:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Raphael Collignon and Rinky Hijikata in the Winston-Salem Open, originally scheduled for August 25, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Raphael Collignon' if Raphael Collignon advances against Rinky Hijikata. This market will resolve to 'Rinky Hijikata' if Rinky Hijikata advances against Raphael Collignon. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

MARKET SWEEPBUY Raphael Collignon@ 66.0¢8h ago
15m INVALIDATED -48.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Rinky Hijikata@ 66.0¢9h ago
15m INVALIDATED -27.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE
ANTI CHASESELL Raphael Collignon10h ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWSELL Raphael Collignon@ 76.0¢10h ago
15m STALLED +0.0pp1h CONFIRMED +13.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: Raphael Collignon UP 10.5pp · near-book depth $122 → $18 · 2s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Raphael Collignon; negative values favor Rinky Hijikata. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hRaphael Collignon · $68.5K
6hRaphael Collignon · $86.4K
24hRaphael Collignon · $83.2K

Raphael Collignon price VWAP

Volume-weighted Raphael Collignon price. Rinky Hijikata fills are converted to the complementary Raphael Collignon probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h46.0¢▼ below by 46.0pp
VWAP 7d46.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Raphael Collignon price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$9.4K
75¢
$36.2K
70¢
$11.0K
65¢
$16.9K
60¢
$32.3K
55¢
$50.2K
50¢
$63.1K
45¢
$24.8K
40¢
$8.9K
35¢
$97
30¢
$12.0K
25¢
$139
20¢
$11.3K
15¢
$13.7K
10¢
$4.7K
5¢
$0
0¢
← now
$54.6K

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLRinky Hijikata$42.0K@ 99.9¢
Donghui0x5877…d894
🐋—about 8 hours ago
BUYRinky Hijikata$10.1K@ 76.0¢0x076d…8d4c🐋—about 8 hours ago
BUYRaphael Collignon$25.0K@ 62.5¢
LUCKYME0010x9a40…840e
🐋—about 8 hours ago
BUYRaphael Collignon$10.7K@ 52.0¢
ferrariChampions20260xfe78…0319
🐋—about 8 hours ago
BUYRinky Hijikata$10.0K@ 68.0¢
007theone10x1f71…b2e4
🐋—about 9 hours ago
SELLRinky Hijikata$15.6K@ 46.0¢
007theone10x1f71…b2e4
🐋—about 9 hours ago
BUYRaphael Collignon$10.0K@ 75.9¢
Tantula0xd607…842a
🐋—about 9 hours ago
SELLRaphael Collignon$25.1K@ 75.7¢0x5f65…2036🐋—about 10 hours ago
BUYRaphael Collignon$15.7K@ 54.0¢0xf3a1…bf4b🐋—about 10 hours ago
BUYRaphael Collignon$18.4K@ 55.6¢0x5f65…2036🐋—about 11 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

007theone1Rinky Hijikata$34.8K
BUY VWAP 56.9¢·4 fills
LUCKYME001Raphael Collignon$26.1K
BUY VWAP 55.0¢·2 fills
TantulaRaphael Collignon$23.9K
BUY VWAP 69.0¢·4 fills
DonghuiRinky Hijikata$18.9K
BUY VWAP 45.0¢·2 fills
0x5f65…2036Raphael Collignon$18.4K
BUY VWAP 55.6¢·1 fill
0xf3a1…bf4bRaphael Collignon$16.8K
BUY VWAP 53.9¢·2 fills
HomeRunHazardRinky Hijikata$13.3K
BUY VWAP 51.8¢·6 fills
ferrariChampions2026Raphael Collignon$10.7K
BUY VWAP 52.0¢·1 fill
0x076d…8d4cRinky Hijikata$10.1K
BUY VWAP 76.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.