PolyScope
ScreenerCategoriesEventsLarge TradesWallets🐋 Top Whales⚡ Early MoversSignalsSmart MoneyPortfolioWatchlist🔔 Alerts

Cleveland Guardians vs. Los Angeles Angels

● quote 39s ago
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $262.7KOfficial 24h Vol: $500.4KEvent: Cleveland Guardians vs. Los Angeles Angels
34.5¢
Cleveland Guardians
65.5¢
Los Angeles Angels
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly13Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets67Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 60%💡 10 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:226 trades$193.6K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 39%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 54 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Los Angeles Angels · $22.6K net·10 wallets·$33.8K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYLos Angeles Angels$27.3K@ 62¢·Donghui

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
+$642
6h
−$1.2K
tracked
$193.6K

10 verified profitable wallets: Los Angeles Angels · $22.6K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 60% · priority 0

Since latest accumulation: +7.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 54 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-02 01:38 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Cleveland Guardians" if the Cleveland Guardians win the game.

•This market will resolve to "Los Angeles Angels" if the Los Angeles Angels win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Cleveland Guardians and Los Angeles Angels, scheduled for August 25 at 9:38PM ET: This market will resolve to "Cleveland Guardians" if the Cleveland Guardians win the game. This market will resolve to "Los Angeles Angels" if the Los Angeles Angels win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ACCUMULATIONBUY Cleveland Guardians@ 28.0¢3h ago
15m INVALIDATED -20.0pp1h INVALIDATED -3.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Cleveland Guardians@ 62.0¢3h ago
15m INVALIDATED -24.0pp1h INVALIDATED -56.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Cleveland Guardians@ 59.0¢10h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp6h STALLED -1.0pp
Latest book event: Cleveland Guardians UP 3.0pp · near-book depth $11.9K → $254 · 27s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Cleveland Guardians; negative values favor Los Angeles Angels. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hCleveland Guardians · $642
6hLos Angeles Angels · $1.2K
24hCleveland Guardians · $7.3K

Cleveland Guardians price VWAP

Volume-weighted Cleveland Guardians price. Los Angeles Angels fills are converted to the complementary Cleveland Guardians probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current34.5¢
VWAP 24h45.2¢▼ below by 10.7pp
VWAP 7d45.2¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

Cleveland Guardians price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$26.4K
55¢
$73.4K
50¢
$2.7K
45¢
$203
40¢
$3.9K
35¢
$54.8K
30¢
← now
$3.3K
25¢
$3.5K
20¢
$10
15¢
$6.7K
10¢
$4.4K
5¢
$14.2K
0¢
$0

VPOC = 55¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYLos Angeles Angels$27.3K@ 61.6¢
Donghui0x5877…d894
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYCleveland Guardians$15.9K@ 56.0¢0x3dfb…abaf🐋—about 3 hours ago
BUYCleveland Guardians$11.8K@ 63.0¢0x3dfb…abaf🐋—about 3 hours ago
BUYCleveland Guardians$18.7K@ 58.0¢0x3dfb…abaf🐋—about 13 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Chicago Cubs vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
86.6¢$631.3Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
0.1¢$406.3Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals?
4.5¢$344.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Hull City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
0.2¢$277.5Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-08-26?
74.5¢$244.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Brighton win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
0.7¢$230.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-08-26?
8.5¢$211.7Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Atlanta Hawks win the 2027 NBA Finals?
0.9¢$188.2Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x3dfb…abafCleveland Guardians$82.5K
BUY VWAP 45.9¢·9 fills
DonghuiLos Angeles Angels$27.3K
BUY VWAP 61.6¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.