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Winston-Salem Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Luciano Darderi

Sports→Closes: 6 daysLiquidity: $216.7KOfficial 24h Vol: $903.2KEvent: Winston-Salem Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Luciano Darderi
0.1¢
Mattia Bellucci
100.0¢
Luciano Darderi
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:154 trades$382.4K tracked8% 🐋source coverage 42%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 574 min agoofficial metadata 550 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Mattia Bellucci · $78.2K net·13 wallets(3🐋)·$94.9K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLLuciano Darderi$32.0K@ 57¢·0x5f65…2036

Decision read paused

Market status is CLOSED. No executable setup is shown until trading is open again.

CLOSED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
CLOSED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-09-01 14:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Mattia Bellucci and Luciano Darderi in the Winston-Salem Open, originally scheduled for August 25, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mattia Bellucci' if Mattia Bellucci advances against Luciano Darderi. This market will resolve to 'Luciano Darderi' if Luciano Darderi advances against Mattia Bellucci. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 9h ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 9h ago

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Luciano Darderi11h ago
Outcome checks pending
MARKET SWEEPBUY Luciano Darderi@ 44.0¢11h ago
15m CONFIRMED +10.0pp1h CONFIRMED +48.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Mattia Bellucci@ 47.0¢14h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED +0.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Mattia Bellucci@ 46.0¢16h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: Luciano Darderi UP 3.0pp · near-book depth $98.4K → $764 · 37s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market closed · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Mattia Bellucci; negative values favor Luciano Darderi. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hMattia Bellucci · $86.2K
6hMattia Bellucci · $154.8K
24hMattia Bellucci · $166.7K

Mattia Bellucci price VWAP

Volume-weighted Mattia Bellucci price. Luciano Darderi fills are converted to the complementary Mattia Bellucci probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.1¢
VWAP 24h37.9¢▼ below by 37.8pp
VWAP 7d37.9¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Mattia Bellucci price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$385
70¢
$13.0K
65¢
$4.8K
60¢
$29.2K
55¢
$22.9K
50¢
$20.9K
45¢
$132.0K
40¢
$50.5K
35¢
$16.0K
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$7.3K
5¢
$3.8K
0¢
← now
$81.6K

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLLuciano Darderi$11.0K@ 99.9¢0xa4fd…748b🐋—about 10 hours ago
SELLLuciano Darderi$19.3K@ 99.9¢
Donghui0x5877…d894
🐋—about 10 hours ago
SELLLuciano Darderi$18.7K@ 99.9¢
danielwolfmorales3pddb6dl60xf377…4159
🐋—about 10 hours ago
SELLLuciano Darderi$27.7K@ 99.9¢
Tantula0xd607…842a
🐋—about 10 hours ago
BUYLuciano Darderi$14.7K@ 62.0¢
Tantula0xd607…842a
🐋—about 10 hours ago
SELLLuciano Darderi$10.6K@ 56.7¢0x5f65…2036🐋—about 10 hours ago
BUYLuciano Darderi$10.0K@ 53.6¢
Jeffplatter0xb399…608e
🐋—about 11 hours ago
SELLLuciano Darderi$32.0K@ 57.0¢0x5f65…2036🐋—about 11 hours ago
BUYLuciano Darderi$29.0K@ 38.7¢0x5f65…2036🐋—about 11 hours ago
BUYMattia Bellucci$11.1K@ 72.0¢
007theone10x1f71…b2e4
🐋—about 12 hours ago
BUYMattia Bellucci$18.8K@ 46.0¢0x2c33…0563🐋—about 14 hours ago
BUYMattia Bellucci$11.0K@ 46.0¢0xf559…f462🐋—about 15 hours ago
BUYMattia Bellucci$23.0K@ 46.0¢
ferrariChampions20260xfe78…0319
🐋—about 16 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x5f65…2036Luciano Darderi$29.0K
BUY VWAP 38.7¢·1 fill
ferrariChampions2026Mattia Bellucci$24.6K
BUY VWAP 46.6¢·2 fills
0x5f65…2036Mattia Bellucci$19.3K
BUY VWAP 46.4¢·2 fills
0x2c33…0563Mattia Bellucci$18.8K
BUY VWAP 46.0¢·1 fill
TantulaLuciano Darderi$17.1K
BUY VWAP 61.7¢·2 fills
0x076d…8d4cMattia Bellucci$15.0K
BUY VWAP 52.0¢·5 fills
007theone1Mattia Bellucci$11.1K
BUY VWAP 72.0¢·1 fill
0xf559…f462Mattia Bellucci$11.0K
BUY VWAP 46.0¢·1 fill
JeffplatterLuciano Darderi$10.0K
BUY VWAP 53.6¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.