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US Open, Qualification ATP: Maks Kasnikowski vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer

Sports→Settlement: Nicolai Budkov KjaerLiquidity: $582.1KOfficial 24h Vol: $120.0KEvent: US Open, Qualification ATP: Maks Kasnikowski vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
0.0¢
Maks Kasnikowski payout
100.0¢
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Nicolai Budkov Kjaer · $18.8K net·7 wallets(1🐋)·$24.8K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYNicolai Budkov Kjaer$16.3K@ 86¢·0b1fe

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Nicolai Budkov Kjaer. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-09-01 15:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Maks Kasnikowski and Nicolai Budkov Kjaer in the US Open, Qualification ATP, originally scheduled for August 25, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Maks Kasnikowski' if Maks Kasnikowski advances against Nicolai Budkov Kjaer. This market will resolve to 'Nicolai Budkov Kjaer' if Nicolai Budkov Kjaer advances against Maks Kasnikowski. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Recent definition/status changes
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 10h ago

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Nicolai Budkov Kjaer@ 77.0¢1d ago
15m INVALIDATED -4.0pp1h CONFIRMED +13.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Maks Kasnikowski; negative values favor Nicolai Budkov Kjaer. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hMaks Kasnikowski · $1.4K
6hNicolai Budkov Kjaer · $11.7K
24hNicolai Budkov Kjaer · $11.7K

Maks Kasnikowski price VWAP

Volume-weighted Maks Kasnikowski price. Nicolai Budkov Kjaer fills are converted to the complementary Maks Kasnikowski probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h25.6¢▼ below by 25.6pp
VWAP 7d25.6¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Maks Kasnikowski price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$9.3K
35¢
$4.0K
30¢
$1.3K
25¢
$1.1K
20¢
$0
15¢
$105
10¢
$18.2K
5¢
$1
0¢
← now
$311

VPOC = 10¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYNicolai Budkov Kjaer$16.3K@ 86.0¢
0b1fe0x9bb1…4dbe
🐋—1 day ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0b1feNicolai Budkov Kjaer$16.3K
BUY VWAP 86.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.